Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Raleigh/Durham, NC

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000
FNUS72 KRAH 161657
FWSRAH

Spot Forecast for Lisa Faulk...NC Forest Service
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1157 AM EST Tue Jan 16 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 EST on January 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact this NWS office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
A strong Arctic cold front will approach from the west, crossing our
region very late tonight and through Wednesday morning. Ahead of the
front, expect generally light southwesterly winds, veering eventually
to the west and north tonight as the front moves through. High
pressure will build into the Carolinas Thursday, then remain
anchored over the Deep South through the weekend, leading to a
warming trend.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 49.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light and variable winds.
Mixing height.......1400-2500 ft AGL, decreasing to 300 ft AGL
                    late.
Transport winds.....West 2 to 10 mph, increasing to 9 to 12 mph
                    late.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................2, increasing to 15 in the afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Visibility..........7.

TIME (EST)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........15     28     51
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0
Temp............43     47     48
RH..............39     35     35
20 ft wind......SW 3   SW 3   SW 3
20 ft wind gust.5      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....1400   2200   2500
Transport wind..SW 2   W 7    W 12
LVORI...........2      2      2
ADI.............2      18     11
Visibility (sm).7      7      7

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent), then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). A chance of snow
                    late.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 30.
Max humidity........78 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light and variable winds.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 2 to 6 mph.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................11, decreasing to 3.
Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches.
Visibility..........5.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........46     45     48     65     77     95
Weather cov.....                                   CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   SNOW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      10     10     10     40
Temp............43     38     36     35     34     33
RH..............47     62     69     72     69     75
20 ft wind......S 3    S 3    S 3    SW 3   SW 3   W 3
20 ft wind gust.5      5      5      5      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....300    300    300    300    300    300
Transport wind..S 6    S 2    S 3    SW 2   W 2    NW 5
LVORI...........2      3      3      3      4      4
ADI.............11     1      1      1      1      4
Visibility (sm).7      7      7      7      7      7

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). A chance of snow
                    early in the morning, then snow likely in the
                    morning. A chance of snow early in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 32.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light and variable winds, becoming northwest 5
                    to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......300-700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 7 to 16 mph, increasing to 16 to 17 mph
                    late.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................8, increasing to 19 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 35 early in the afternoon,
                    decreasing to 22 late.
Pcpn amount.........0.19 inches.
Visibility..........4, decreasing to 1.00 early in the morning,
                    then increasing to 4 late.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........96     98     100    96     89     72
Weather cov.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE
Weather type....SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).40     60     70     70     50     10
Temp............33     31     29     29     29     30
RH..............78     88     92     85     75     63
20 ft wind......NW 4   N 6    N 8    N 9    N 9    NW 9
20 ft wind gust.10     15     15     15     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....300    300    700    600    600    600
Transport wind..N 7    N 10   N 13   N 14   N 16   N 17
LVORI...........4      4      3      3      3      2
ADI.............4      11     19     19     35     22
Visibility (sm).5      2.8    1.0    1.0    2.5    4

$$
Forecaster...MORROW
Requested by...Derek Risen
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1800431.0/RAH
.EMAIL derek.risen@ncagr.gov


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