Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA

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591
FNUS71 KRNK 261836
FWSRNK

SPOT FORECAST FOR MONONGAHELA NF FLOODING...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
236 PM EDT SUN JUN 26 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1800 CDT ON JUNE 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH MONDAY FROM 900 AM EDT THROUGH MIDNIGHT...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE FOR A DRY FORECAST THE REMAINDER OF TODAY
AND THROUGH MUCH OF THE OVERNIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE
REGION FROM THE WEST ON MONDAY...WITH PROGRESSIVELY INCREASING CHANCES
OF SHOWERS AND STORMS DURING THE DAY. BY THE AFTERNOON...HEAVY RAIN
WILL BE POSSIBLE AS THE FRONT REACHES THE AREA. GIVEN THE RECENT
HISTORIC FLOODING...AND STILL RELATIVELY LOW THRESHOLDS FOR ADDITIONAL
FLASH FLOODING...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE IN EFFECT MONDAY FROM
900 AM EDT THROUGH MIDNIGHT. WHILE LARGE AMOUNTS OF RAIN ARE NOT
FORECAST...IT MAY BE ENOUGH RAIN...ESPECIALLY IF IT FALLS IN A
RELATIVELY SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...TO PROMPT FLASH FLOODING.

&&

.REST OF TODAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
SURFACE WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.

TIME (CDT)          1 PM   3 PM
SKY (%).............55     52
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................77     79
RH..................58     53
SURFACE WIND........S 5    S 6
SURFACE WND GST.....5      10
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0      10

.TONIGHT...

MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
SURFACE WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.

TIME (CDT)          5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM
SKY (%).............29     23     27     27     21     38
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................77     73     70     67     65     64
RH..................57     65     75     82     88     90
SURFACE WIND........S 6    SE 6   S 3    SE 1   SE 1   S 1
SURFACE WND GST.....10            5
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10     10     0      0      0      10

.MONDAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    LATE IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
SURFACE WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT
                    AND VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON...BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.

TIME (CDT)          5 AM   7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM
SKY (%).............46     47     66     77     89     92
WEATHER COV.........       S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............                     CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE
TEMP................62     66     72     76     78     81
RH..................96     84     77     71     68     66
SURFACE WIND........S 1    SW 3   W 4    W 4    W 4    W 4
SURFACE WND GST.....       5      5      5      5      5
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10     20     30     50     70     80

$$
FORECASTER...SLEIGHTER
REQUESTED BY...ALYSSA HAMMOND
TYPE OF REQUEST...OTHER
.TAG 1601025.1/RNK



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