Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA

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FNUS71 KRNK 191157
FWSRNK

SPOT FORECAST FOR YADKIN RIVER RX...NC STATE PARKS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
657 AM EST FRI DEC 19 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EST ON DECEMBER 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST WILL GRADUALLY BUILD SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE AREA BRINGING DRIER CONDITIONS UNDER LIGHTER NORTHWEST
WINDS THIS AFTERNOON. THIS IN COMBINATION WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING TO
AROUND 50 DEGREES AND LOW DEWPOINTS WILL RESULT IN AFTERNOON HUMIDITY
LEVELS FALLING TO AROUND 30 PERCENT UNDER MAINLY SUNNY SKIES. HOWEVER
LIGHTER WINDS WILL LEAD TO LOWER MIXING HEIGHTS EVEN AS THE NEAR SURFACE
INVERSION LAYER SLOWLY MIXES OUT LATER THIS MORNING.

CLOUDS WILL RETURN OVERNIGHT WITH SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF
RAIN AND SNOW OR A WINTRY MIX ARRIVING JUST PRIOR TO DAYBREAK ON SATURDAY.
HOWEVER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT WITH LIQUID TOTALS OF ONLY A TENTH
OF AN INCH OR LESS.
&&

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3200 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (EST)          NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............21     19     28
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................49     51     49
RH..................34     32     36
20 FT WIND..........N 2    N 2    NE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)........2800   3200   3200
TRANSPORT WIND......N 9    N 7    NW 5
CWR.................0      0      0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN OR SNOW LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 1 TO 5 MPH.

TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............36     46     59     71     81     90
WEATHER COV.........                                   S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RAIN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................44     40     38     36     35     34
RH..................46     57     62     66     70     73
20 FT WIND..........E 2    E 1    E 1    NE 1   NE 2   NE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....                                   5
MIX HGT (FT)........1300   300    300    300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND......E 2    E 1    E 1    NE 1   NE 1   NE 2
CWR.................0      0      0      10     10     20

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
CWR (0.01 IN).......60 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (EST)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............98     100    100    100    97     90
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........SNOW   SNOW   RNSN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................34     36     38     39     41     41
RH..................76     74     72     71     70     71
20 FT WIND..........E 2    E 2    SE 2   SE 2   SE 2   SE 1
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)........800    1400   2000   2000   2000   2000
TRANSPORT WIND......NE 6   E 7    SE 3   S 3    SW 3   SW 3
CWR.................40     60     70     60     40     30

$$
FORECASTER...HUDGINS
REQUESTED BY...MATT WINDSOR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141219.YADKI.01/RNK


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