Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FNUS74 KTSA 191918
FWSTSA

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR FLANAGAN PRAIRIE RX...ARKANSAS NATURAL HERITAGE COMMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
218 PM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1430 CDT ON OCTOBER 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MOSTLY SUNNY TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS SHOULD REMAIN
COMMON ACROSS SOUTHERN FRANKLIN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS
AFTERNOON. A FEW SHOWERS AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
LOOK TO BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT TO THE NORTHWEST IN
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...SPREADING INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS MONDAY AS
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BOUNDARY
APPROACH THE REGION.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 3 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.

TIME (CDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
TEMP............69  70  71  71
DEWPT...........47  48  48  47
RH..............45  45  43  43
20FT WIND DIR...E   E   E   E
20FT SPD (MPH)..4   4   5   5
20FT GUST(MPH)..10  10  10  10
CLOUDS (%)......0   0   5   9
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
MIXHGT/100(FT)..042 043 044 041
TR WIND DIR.....SE  S   S   S
TR WIND SPD(MPH)2   2   3   3
STABILITY.......B   B   C   C
1700FT MIX T (F)66  67  68  66
VENT/1000(M^3/S)001 001 002 002

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-3800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-1800 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 1 TO 8 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
TEMP............69  65  61  59  58  57  56  55  54  54  53  52
DEWPT...........48  48  48  49  49  49  49  49  49  49  49  49
RH..............48  54  62  68  72  74  78  81  83  85  87  89
20FT WIND DIR...E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20FT SPD (MPH)..5   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20FT GUST(MPH)..10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
CLOUDS (%)......14  35  37  39  42  44  47  51  54  58  59  60
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
MIXHGT/100(FT)..038 035 023 018 014 013 003 003 002 002 002 002
TR WIND DIR.....SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E
TR WIND SPD(MPH)5   5   7   8   8   7   5   2   1   1   2   2
STABILITY.......D   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F
1700FT MIX T (F)64  63  61  59  69  69  68  68  68  68  68  68
VENT/1000(M^3/S)003 002 002 002 002 001 000 000 000 000 000 000

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400-5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 1 TO 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO
                    8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
LIGHT WINDS.
.THURSDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. LIGHT
WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...JANKOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...JOE WOOLBRIGHT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141019.FLANA.01/TSA






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