Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS Alaska-Pacific RFC

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AGAK78 PACR 292328
HMDACR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NWS ALASKA PACIFIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKDT FRI JUL 29 2016

...FLOOD POTENTIAL...

FLOOD ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY WITH HEAVY
RAINS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF SEWARD PENINSULA AND NULATO HILLS. RAPID RISES WILL OCCUR
ON THE SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS.

HEAVY RAINS OF 1 TO 1.5 INCHES WILL RESULT IN RAPID RISES IN STREAMS
AND RIVERS... WITH MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE. AREAS AFFECTED WILL BE
WESTERN ALASKA RANGE AND MIDDLE TANANA VALLEY.

THE FLOOD POTENTIAL FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE STATE IS CURRENTLY LOW.

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

A STRONG LOW NORTH OF BARROW WILL SLOWLY DRIFT NORTHWARD... OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS. ANOTHER LOW DEVELOPING OVER THE GULF WILL MOVE TO THE
EAST TOWARD THE PANHANDLE. A THIRD LOW WILL MOVE INTO BRISTOL BAY BY
SUNDAY NIGHT.

FOR TODAY INTO TONIGHT... 1 TO 2 INCHES FOR THE SEWARD PENINSULA AND
NORTON SOUND AREA... WITH LESSER AMOUNTS OVER THE INTERIOR. FOR
SATURDAY... A SWATH OF RAIN WILL RANGE SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ALASKA
WITH A BROAD AREA OF HALF INCH TO 1.5 INCHES OF RAIN. FOR SUNDAY...
THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL REMAIN SOUTHWEST WITH AROUND AND INCH
EXPECTED IN MANY AREAS.

...PRECIPITATION...

SELECTED PRECIPITATION TOTALS OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS ENDING AT 4 AM
TODAY:

LOCATION NAME                 PE TS   24 HR
======== ====                 == ==   =====
KATA2    KANUTI LAKE          PC RM :  2.50
ECBA2    EAGLECREST BASE      PP RZ :  2.48
JNAA2    JUNEAU DOWNTOWN      PP RZ :  2.20
JDWA2    JUNEAU DOUGLAS WWTP  PP RZ :  2.15
PAAP     PORT ALEXANDER       PP RZ :  2.14
PECA2    PELICAN              PP RZ :  1.81
NUCA2    NUCHEK               PC RM :  1.50
ANXA2    ANNEX CREEK          PP RZ :  1.39
EYLA2    EYAK LAKE            PP RZ :  1.37
AUKA2    AUKE BAY LARC        PP RZ :  1.30
LLKA2    LONG LAKE SNOTEL     PC RM :  1.20
EYRA2    EYAK RIVER           PP RZ :  1.17
PAWR     WHITTIER             PP RZ :  1.12
MACA2    MACLAREN RIVER AT DE PP RG :  1.03
KNAA2    MYSTERY CREEK AT KEN PC RG :  0.94
PHLA2    PHELAN CREEK NR PAXS PC RG :  0.92
KNAA2    MYSTERY CREEK AT KEN PP RG :  0.92
DCKA2    DAHL CREEK NR KOBUK  PC RG :  0.81
COTA2    COTTONWOOD LAKE RAWS PC RG :  0.81
JOPA2    JUNEAU OUTER POINT   PP RZ :  0.73
HOWA2    HOWARD PASS RAWS     PC RG :  0.69
CIAA2    CANYON ISLAND        PP RZ :  0.67
HOWA2    HOWARD PASS RAWS     PP RG :  0.61
FLDA2    FIELDING LAKE        PC RM :  0.60
ARDA2    ANCHOR RIVER DIVIDE  PC RM :  0.60
PAEL     ELFIN COVE           PP RZ :  0.57
AHNA2    HAINES #2            PP RZ :  0.57
SDIA2    SOUTH DOUGLAS        PC RZ :  0.52
TMLA2    TWELVE MILE LAKE     PC RP :  0.50

...LONG RANGE...

THE 6 TO 10 DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED PROBABILITIES OF
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE ENTIRE STATE EXCEPT THE NORTH
SLOPE AND EASTER INTERIOR.

THE 6 TO 10 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED PROBABILITIES OF
BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION FOR ALL OF ALASKA EXCEPT THE NORTH SLOPE.

PLEASE REFER TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER HOME PAGE FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION.

....................................................................

THIS TEXT PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED DAILY UNTIL FREEZEUP IN THE FALL. A
GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THE HYDROMET DISCUSSION IS AVAILABLE AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/APRFC/GRAPHICALHMD

$$

KFM



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