Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS Alaska-Pacific RFC

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AGAK78 PACR 192303
HMDACR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NWS ALASKA PACIFIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKDT SUN OCT 19 2014

...FLOOD POTENTIAL...

FLOOD POTENTIAL IS CURRENTLY LOW FOR THE STATE OF ALASKA.

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

THROUGH MONDAY...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED APPROXIMATELY OVER THE
K/Y PENINSULA... WILL REMAIN FAIRLY STATIONARY AND STRENGTHEN. GOING
INTO TUESDAY... THE LOW WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO THE GULF. THIS LOW
WILL USHER IN MOISTURE MAINLY OVER THE PANHANDLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
WILL BE UP TO 2 INCHES EACH DAY OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. FOR
MONDAY...THE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL WILL EXTEND UP INTO THE YAKUTAT
AND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AREAS.

THROUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS... FREEZING LEVELS DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS WILL RANGE FROM THE SURFACE OVER MOST OF MAINLAND ALASKA TO
2000-6000 FT OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA. DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS EACH
DAY... FREEZING LEVELS OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL ALASKA WILL RISE TO 2000-
4000 FEET.

PRECIPITATION... SELECTED PRECIPITATION TOTALS OVER THE 24 HOURS
ENDING AT 4 AM TODAY:

LOCATION NAME                 PE TS   24 HR
======== ====                 == ==   =====
SHLA2    SHELTER COVE RAWS    PP RG :  2.14
HADA2    HAIDA RAWS           PC RG :  1.11
KTAA2    KETCHIKAN 13N        PP RZ :  0.95
THOA2    THORNE BAY RAWS      PP RG :  0.91
ZMBA2    ZAREMBO ISLAND SOUTH PC RG :  0.90
PAKW     KLAWOCK              PP RZ :  0.83
CFCA2    COFFMAN COVE         PP RZ :  0.83
PAPG     PETERSBURG           PP RZ :  0.74
PAAP     PORT ALEXANDER       PP RZ :  0.71
ANXA2    ANNEX CREEK          PP RZ :  0.65
PAKT     KETCHIKAN            PP RZ :  0.64
HCSA2    HAINES CUSTOMS       PP RZ :  0.58
SPPA2    SNETTISHAM POWER     PP RZ :  0.55
PAJK     JUNEAU WFO           PP RZ :  0.55
MCPA2    MCARTHUR PASS        PC RG :  0.52
PAHN     HAINES LANDING STRIP PP RZ :  0.51
PTBA2    POINT BAKER          PP RZ :  0.50
PAOH     HOONAH               PP RZ :  0.45

...LONG RANGE...

THE 6 TO 10 DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES OF ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER THE FAR NORTH AND AND FAR WEST MAINLAND
ALASKA AND THE ALEUTIANS. MUCH OF THE REST OF ALASKA HAS INCREASED
CHANCES OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

THE 6 TO 10 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES FOR
ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
STATE...INCLUDING MUCH OF THE INTERIOR AND THE K/Y PENINSULA.
INCREASED CHANCES FOR BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE
AKPEN...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST ALASKA.

PLEASE REFER TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER HOME PAGE FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION.

....................................................................

THIS HYDROMET DISCUSSION WILL BE ISSUED DAILY UNTIL FREEZE-UP BEGINS
IN THE FALL.

A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THE HYDROMET DISCUSSION IS AVAILABLE AT
HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GHMD.PHP

$$

KFM


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