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000
AGUS71 KTAR 181537
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
1136 AM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
A COLD FRONT HELPED BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. BASIN AVERAGE AMOUNTS RANGED FROM 0.10 TO 0
.50 INCH OVER MANY AREAS. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ABOVE ONE INCH
WERE NOTED ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND
SOUTHEASTERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.
:
A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WAS LOCATED ACROSS EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK STATE AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THIS
FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL PROVIDE THE FOCUS FOR MORE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON...AS DIURNAL INSTABILITY INCREASES.
LOW PRESSURE OVER EASTERN TENNESSEE WILL TRACK OFF THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT...BUT THE BULK OF ITS MOISTURE WILL TRACK
OFFSHORE. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
:
48 HOUR QPF AMOUNTS RANGE FROM 0.10 TO 0.50 INCH ACROSS EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND BUT LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THUNDERSTORMS. ELSEWHERE FORECAST
AMOUNTS RANGE FROM 0.10 INCH OR LESS.
:
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:
:
MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES AT THE CHARLES RIVER AT DOVER, MA. THE
RIVER HAS CRESTED AND IS STARTING TO SLOWLY RECEDE. IT IS EXPECTED
TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON THURSDAY NIGHT.
:
THE RAIN THAT WILL IMPACT THE REGION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ONLY MINOR RISES ON THE RIVERS IN NEW YORK AND
NEW ENGLAND.
:
ACCORDING TO THE USGS WATERWATCH WEBSITE, 7-DAY AVERAGE
STREAMFLOWS ACROSS THE NERFC REGION ARE MUCH ABOVE NORMAL TO
RECORD HIGH LEVELS FOR THIS PERIOD IN MID-JUNE.
:
FLOOD OUTLOOK DISCUSSION:
:
SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME DURING THE
NEXT FIVE DAYS IN NEW ENGLAND AND NEW YORK.
:
THE FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/FOP.SHTML
:
ADDITIONAL WATER AND WEATHER RELATED INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON
THE NWS/NERFC HOME PAGE AT http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/nerfc
:
$$
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:          NEAL STRAUSS
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                   NORM BINGHAM