Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS Ohio RFC

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AGUS71 KTIR 061831
HMDTIR
Ohio River Basin Hydrometeorological Discussion
Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, Ohio
131 PM EST Friday, March 6, 2015

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...
Dry weather will remain over the Ohio Valley until a weak snow-maker moves into
the northeast basin on Thursday and Thursday night.  Only a tenth or two is
expected.  Only minor weather systems are expected in parts of the Ohio Valley
throughout the next week, but a major rain event looks poised to effect the
region next weekend.

...FLOOD POTENTIAL DISCUSSION...
Several rivers are still on the rise and worsening flooding is still anticipated
at some locations.  Added to the concern is the fact that snow melt will begin
after today and high temperatures begin to increase throughout the next week.
Temperatures may even reach the 60s north of the Ohio River by the end of next
week.  Fortunately, no widespread heavy rainfall is expected until next weekend.
By then, much of the snowpack over the majority of the basin will have melted
away.

...24-HR OBSERVED PRECIPITATION USED IN TODAY`S RIVER FORECASTS...
Precipitation measured an inch or less over the southeast third of the Ohio
Valley  yesterday.

...48-HR FORECAST PRECIPITATION USED IN TODAY`S RIVER FORECASTS...
Precipitation will be confined to the northeastern half of the Ohio Valley
beginning Thursday.  Amounts should only be a tenth or two.

...RIVER BASINS IN FLOOD...
Points along the following river basins were in flood Friday morning:
 River Basin     Forecast Point   Flood Stage Latest Stg Tendency *
Ohio River       Point Pleasant        40         44.5    Falling
Ohio River       Huntington            50         50.5    Falling
Ohio River       Ashland               52         54.0    Steady
Ohio River       Portsmouth            50         50.1    Rising
Licking River    Blue Lick Sprin       25         28.5    Falling
Kentucky River   Booneville            27         28.1    Falling
Kentucky River   Heidelberg Lock       20         22.8    Falling
Kentucky River   Ravenna               21         30.2    Falling
Kentucky River   Clay City             17         18.3    Falling
Kentucky River   Boston                35         40.7    Steady
Green River      Munfordville          28         32.1    Falling
Green River      Brownsville           18         22.7    Rising
Green River      Rochester Ferry       17         19.8    Rising
Green River      Paradise             380        386.8    Rising
Green River      Dundee                25         25.7    Falling
Cumberland River Barbourville          27         35.0    Falling
Cumberland River Williamsburg          21         28.0    Rising

Forecast precipitation graphics are available on the OHRFC Website
at the following address:  http://weather.gov/ohrfc/ForecastPrecipitation

* Tendency based on observed value and a 1-day forecast.
$$
Mark J. Fenbers




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