High Seas Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FZPN03 KNHC 231554
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SAT AUG 23 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT AUG 23.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN AUG 24.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON AUG 25.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE KARINA NEAR 17.2N 134.1W 988 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 23
MOVING NE OR 040 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
120 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...150 NM NW QUADRANT AND 180 NM SE
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 30 NM SE
SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 18.2N 131.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM NW SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 19.0N 129.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARINA NEAR 20.3N 129.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KARINA NEAR 20.8N
130.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KARINA NEAR 21.0N
131.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 14.6N 106.3W 983 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 23
MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT
GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE
QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM E SEMICIRCLE...210
NM SW QUADRANT AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 24 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM NW SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA BOUNDED BY
08N118W TO 08N100W TO 03.4S110W TO 03.4S120W TO 08N118W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 15.9N 110.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 420 NM E SEMICIRCLE
AND 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 600
NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND 300 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 00N TO 08N BETWEEN 110W
AND 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 17.3N 113.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 160 NM NE QUADRANT...140 NM SE QUADRANT...110 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
540 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 31
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 640 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND 300 NM NW
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA
N OF 05N BETWEEN 100W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12
FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 19.7N 117.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 22.0N 121.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 25.0N 126.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 23.7N 126.5W 1000 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG
23 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...100 NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT.SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM W SEMICIRCLE
WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND
400 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 25.1N
128.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLE
WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM
SE SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8
TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 25.8N
131.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 27.0N
135.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 28.5N
139.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 30.0N
143.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE...N OF 10N W OF 115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE...N OF 11N W OF 125W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE...N OF 12N W OF 125W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC SAT AUG 23...

.HURRICANE KARINA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 45 NM E
AND 75 NM OF CENTER.

.TROPICAL STORM MARIE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 240
NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 06N TO 10N
BETWEEN 110W AND 125W.

.TROPICAL STORM LOWELL...NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION NOTED.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 11N100W. NO ITCZ AXIS
E OF 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM S OF AXIS E OF 85W.
SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W
AND 95W.

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.


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