Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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FLUS44 KMOB 311019
HWOMOB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
419 AM CST SAT JAN 31 2015

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-011200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
419 AM CST SAT JAN 31 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WITH HIGH PRESSURE MOVING TO THE EAST TODAY...A DEVELOPING EAST TO
SOUTHEAST FLOW ALONG WITH TIDAL RANGES SUGGEST A MODERATE RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS FOR AREA BEACHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY FLOW ON SUNDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
ADVANCING INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY...ALONG WITH TIDAL
RANGES...SUGGEST A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG AREA BEACHES.

THE COLD FRONT SURGES SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE GULF ON MONDAY AND
RESULTS IN A MODERATE NORTHERLY WIND FLOW. WIND GUSTS ON MONDAY MAY
VERY WELL APPROACH 30 MPH.

FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...THERE IS CONSIDERABLE DISAGREEMENT ON
THE EASTWARD TRACK OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT FORMS OFF THE TEXAS
COAST. CONSIDERING THIS...CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO HIGHLIGHT SPECIFIC
HAZARDS DURING THIS PERIOD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS IS NOT
EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.

$$

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-011200-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
419 AM CST SAT JAN 31 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WITH STRONG HIGH PRESSURE AXIS FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
RIVER VALLEY TO ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES...LATEST OBSERVATIONS SHOW A
MODERATE NORTHEAST FLOW...WITH HIGHER GUSTS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS
THIS MORNING. SMALL CRAFT TO EXERCISE CAUTION THIS MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NEXT COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE AND RESULTANT WIND SHIFT TO OCCUR SUNDAY
NIGHT. ONSHORE WINDS INCREASE ON SUNDAY AS THE FRONT APPROACHES THE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...
A MODERATE TO STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW WILL LIKELY LEAD TO THE ISSUANCE
OF SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...CONTINUING INTO MONDAY
MORNING. SEAS TRENDING HIGHER WITH BAYS AND SOUNDS DEVELOPING CHOPPY
TO ROUGH CONDITIONS.

FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...THERE IS CONSIDERABLE DISAGREEMENT ON
THE EASTWARD TRACK OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT FORMS OFF THE TEXAS
COAST. CONSIDERING THIS...CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO HIGHLIGHT SPECIFIC
HAZARDS WITH REGARD TO WINDS AND SEAS DURING THIS PERIOD.

$$






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