Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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981
FLUS44 KTSA 291056
HWOTSA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
556 AM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-301045-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
556 AM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

...ELEVATED SEVERE STORM RISK THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

TORNADO.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Far northeast Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...After 1 PM.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Along and east of a Bartlesville to Tulsa to McAlester to Hugo line.
ONSET...After 1 PM.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Far eastern Oklahoma into western Arkansas.
ONSET...After 1 PM.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Far eastern Oklahoma into western Arkansas.
ONSET...After 1 PM.

DISCUSSION...

An elevated risk of severe thunderstorms is forecast across
far eastern Oklahoma into western Arkansas this afternoon and
evening mainly along and east of highway 75 and the Indian Nation
Turnpike. Very large hail and damaging winds are possible with
the strongest storms. Isolated tornadoes are possible as well, and
would be more likely across far northeast Oklahoma into northwest
Arkansas this afternoon and into the early evening hours.

Locally heavy rainfall is possible with the storms. However, storm
movement is expected to be fast, and storms are not expected to
train over the same areas. This should limit the flood risk.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY...No Hazards.
SATURDAY thru TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

Scattered thunderstorms are expected beneath the upper level low
pressure on Thursday, mainly across northeast Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas. Instability will be limited, despite the cold
temperatures aloft. Some small hail is possible with the storms,
but severe hail is not expected.

Another upper storm system is expected to affect the region this
weekend into early next week. The latest data suggests that the
surface low will track to the south and east of our area, which
would keep the warm sector out of our area. As a result, severe
potential will be limited considerably. However, the latest data
does show locally heavy rainfall is possible.

weather.gov/tulsa Contains additional information.

$$

Lacy



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