Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 211100
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
500 AM CST FRI NOV 21 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-221100-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
500 AM CST FRI NOV 21 2014


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.


THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS MORNING.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.


DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TODAY AND TONIGHT AS AN
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN PLAINS FROM THE
WEST. SURFACE AND ELEVATED INSTABILITY APPEAR TOO LIMITED TO
SUPPORT SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH TONIGHT.


SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
MONDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.


EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL REMAIN ONGOING THROUGH MOST OF THE
WEEKEND...WITH THE MOST WIDESPREAD RAINFALL EXPECTED SATURDAY AND
SATURDAY NIGHT. SOME LOCATIONS ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA MAY SEE
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF RAIN...WHICH MAY LEAD TO PONDING ON
ROADWAYS...AND SOME FLOODING OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS. RAIN CHANCES
WILL DECREASE LATE SUNDAY AS THE UPPER SYSTEM EXITS AND DRIER AIR
MOVES IN FROM THE WEST. THE DRY AIR AND BREEZY WEST TO NORTHWEST
WINDS ON MONDAY MAY CREATE WILDFIRE DANGER...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. A PERIOD OF SETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED FROM
TUESDAY THROUGH THANKSGIVING.


WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$




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