Quantitative Precipitation Statement
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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000
FSUS46 KLOX 211204
QPSLOX

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
355 AM PST SAT JAN 21 2017

PRECIPITATION FORECASTS IN INCHES ARE PROVIDED IN 3-HOUR
INCREMENTS UNTIL 1600 FOLLOWED BY 6-HOUR INCREMENTS UNTIL 0400.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES COVER UP TO 0400 ON DAY 1 ONLY.

LIGHT RAINFALL AMOUNTS GREATER THAN ZERO BUT LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN
INCH ARE SHOWN AS LGT.

THE DISCUSSION COVERS THE PERIOD FROM: SAT JAN 21 2017 THROUGH SAT JAN 28 2017.

&&
                                    04-07  07-10  10-13  13-16  |  16-22  22-04

SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY...

LSRC1:CAMBRIA                        LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   LGT    0.8
SMRC1:SANTA MARGARITA                LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   LGT    0.5
NIPC1:LOPEZ LAKE                     LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   LGT    0.4

SLO: PEAK 1-HR RATES: CST/VLY 0.26-0.49    FTHLS/MTNS 0.26-0.49
                      EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN  2200-0400
CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS: NO

&&
                                    04-07  07-10  10-13  13-16  |  16-22  22-04

SANTA BARBARA COUNTY...

SIYC1:SANTA MARIA CITY               LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   LGT    0.3
SBTC1:SANTA BARBARA POTRERO          LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   LGT    0.3
GBRC1:GIBRALTAR DAM                  LGT    LGT    0.0    0.0   |   LGT    0.4
SMCC1:SAN MARCOS PASS                LGT    LGT    0.0    0.0   |   LGT    0.4
SBFC1:SANTA BARBARA COUNTY BUILDING  LGT    LGT    0.0    0.0   |   LGT    0.3

SBA: PEAK 1-HR RATES: CST/VLY 0.11-0.25    FTHLS/MTNS 0.11-0.25
                      EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN  2200-0400
CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS: NO

&&
                                    04-07  07-10  10-13  13-16  |  16-22  22-04

VENTURA COUNTY...

FGWC1:FAGAN CANYON                   LGT    LGT    0.0    0.0   |   LGT    LGT
HRCC1:HOPPER CANYON                  LGT    LGT    0.0    0.0   |   LGT    LGT
MTDC1:MATILIJA DAM                   LGT    LGT    0.0    0.0   |   LGT    0.2
VTUC1:VENTURA COUNTY GOVT CENTER     LGT    LGT    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    LGT
MORC1:MOORPARK COUNTY YARD           LGT    LGT    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    LGT
CRXC1:CIRCLE X RANCH                 LGT    LGT    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    LGT

VTU: PEAK 1-HR RATES: CST/VLY 0.01-0.10    FTHLS/MTNS 0.11-0.25
                      EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN  2200-0400
CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS: NO

&&
                                    04-07  07-10  10-13  13-16  |  16-22  22-04

LOS ANGELES COUNTY...

WFKC1:WEST FORK HELIPORT (MT WILSON) LGT    LGT    0.0    0.0   |   LGT    LGT
BDDC1:BIG DALTON DAM                 LGT    LGT    0.0    0.0   |   LGT    LGT
PCDC1:PACOIMA DAM                    LGT    LGT    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    LGT
FLTC1:LA CANADA FLINTRIDGE           LGT    LGT    0.0    0.0   |   LGT    LGT
SAUC1:SAUGUS                         LGT    LGT    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    LGT
CQT  :LOS ANGELES DOWNTOWN (USC)     LGT    LGT    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    LGT
MLUC1:BIG ROCK MESA                  LGT    LGT    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    LGT

LAC: PEAK 1-HR RATES: CST/VLY 0.01-0.10    FTHLS/MTNS 0.01-0.10
                      EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN  2200-0400
CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS: NO

&&

DISCUSSION:

THERE WILL JUST BE SOME SHOWERS TODAY AND THEY WILL NOT DROP MUCH IF
ANY RAINFALL ACROSS THE AREA. A LARGE AND VERY WET STORM WILL ARRIVE
LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. A SHOWERY REGIME
WILL FORM IN ITS WAKE WITH SHOWER ACTIVITY LASTING LATE INTO MONDAY.
THE PEAK OF THE STORM WILL OCCUR FROM 600 AM TO 600 PM SUNDAY WITH
PEAK RAINFALL RATES UP TO OR LOCALLY EXCEEDING AN INCH PER HOUR.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 2-4 INCHES COAST/VALLEYS
AND 3-6 INCHES FOOTHILLS/MTNS AND GREATER AMOUNTS IN THE HILLS ABOVE
THE CITY OF SANTA BARBARA AND THE COASTAL SLOPES OF THE SAN GABRIEL
MTNS. SNOW LEVELS WILL BE ABOVE 7500 OR 8000 FEET ON SUNDAY BUT WILL
FALL RAPIDLY OVERNIGHT AND INTO MONDAY WHEN SNOW ISSUES MAY BECOME A
CONCERN. THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT CHC OF TSTMS ON MONDAY WITH HIGH
INTENSITY RAINFALL RATES. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL LINGER MONDAY
NIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY BUT RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM THESE SHOWERS WILL
NOT AMOUNT TO MUCH.

&&
FORECASTER



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