River Forecast
Issued by NWS

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FGUS53 KMSR 221422
RVFGND

RIVER FORECAST
NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
918 AM CDT SUN OCT 22 2017

: THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA THAT MAY BE SUBJECT TO REVISION.
: REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST.
:
: NOTE...  This product includes observed precipitation, plus
:          forecast precipitation for the next 48 Hours.
:
:-------------------------------------------------------------
: Forecast rises are based on 48 hrs of QPF ranging from
: about 1.1 inches in the northwest to about 2.8 inches in
: the southeast part of the watershed. More rain is possible
: on day 3, so these crests might need to be raised.
:-------------------------------------------------------------
:
: Grand R  Jackson MI - JACM4
: HSA:GRR   Flood Stage:14.0 FT   Fcst Issuance Stage:13.0 FT
.E JACM4 1021 Z DH18/DC10221418/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft)
.E1  9.5/ 9.5/ 9.5/ 9.4
.E JACM4 1022 Z DH18/DC10221418/HGIFF/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft)
.E1  9.4/ 9.4/ 9.4/ 9.7/ 10.3/ 12.4/ 13.0/ 11.9
.E1  11.4/ 11.4/ 11.5/ 11.6/ 11.6/ 11.7/ 11.7/ 11.7
.E1  11.7/ 11.7/ 11.7/ 11.7/ 11.7/ 11.7/ 11.7/ 11.7
.E1  11.7/ 11.7/ 11.7/ 11.7/
:
:
: Sycamore Cr  Holt MI - HHTM4
: HSA:GRR   Flood Stage:8.0 FT   Fcst Issuance Stage:6 FT
: ------------------------------------------------------------
: drew it below minor for now.
: ------------------------------------------------------------
: CREST FORECAST
.A HHTM4  1024 Z DH12/DC10221418/HGIFFX  7.9
:
.E HHTM4 1021 Z DH18/DC10221418/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft)
.E1  4.4/ 4.3/ 4.2/ 4.1
.E HHTM4 1022 Z DH18/DC10221418/HGIFF/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft)
.E1  3.9/ 3.7/ 3.6/ 3.5/ 3.8/ 5.8/ 7.4/ 7.9
.E1  7.9/ 7.6/ 7.2/ 6.9/ 6.6/ 6.5/ 6.4/ 6.4
.E1  6.3/ 6.2/ 6.1/ 6.0/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.8/ 5.6
.E1  5.5/ 5.4/ 5.3/ 5.1/
:
:
: Looking Glass R  Eagle MI - EAGM4
: HSA:GRR   Flood Stage:7.0 FT   Fcst Issuance Stage:5 FT
: ------------------------------------------------------------
: drew it below minor for now. Raw model simulation crested
: above minor. we`ve got time to re-evaluate. More rain is expected
: in the 48 to 72 hr time-frame. very well could rise above
: minor.
: ------------------------------------------------------------
: CREST FORECAST
.A EAGM4  1026 Z DH00/DC10221418/HGIFFX  6.9
:
.E EAGM4 1021 Z DH18/DC10221418/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft)
.E1  3.4/ 3.4/ 3.4/ 3.5
.E EAGM4 1022 Z DH18/DC10221418/HGIFF/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft)
.E1  3.4/ 3.4/ 3.4/ 3.3/ 3.3/ 3.7/ 4.7/ 5.7
.E1  6.4/ 6.6/ 6.7/ 6.8/ 6.8/ 6.9/ 6.8/ 6.8
.E1  6.7/ 6.5/ 6.2/ 6.0/ 5.7/ 5.5/ 5.2/ 5.0
.E1  4.7/ 4.5/ 4.2/ 3.9/
:
:
: Maple R  Maple Rapids MI - MRPM4
: HSA:GRR   Flood Stage:9.0 FT   Fcst Issuance Stage:7 FT
.E MRPM4 1021 Z DH18/DC10221418/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft)
.E1  3.3/ 3.3/ 3.3/ 3.2
.E MRPM4 1022 Z DH18/DC10221418/HGIFF/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft)
.E1  3.2/ 3.2/ 3.1/ 3.1/ 3.3/ 3.8/ 4.9/ 5.6
.E1  6.3/ 6.9/ 7.2/ 7.4/ 7.6/ 7.7/ 7.8/ 7.8
.E1  7.8/ 7.8/ 7.7/ 7.7/ 7.6/ 7.5/ 7.4/ 7.3
.E1  7.2/ 7.1/ 7.0/ 6.9/
:
:
: Grand R  Ionia MI - IONM4
: HSA:GRR   Flood Stage:21.0 FT   Fcst Issuance Stage:13.5 FT
.E IONM4 1021 Z DH18/DC10221418/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft)
.E1  9.6/ 9.7/ 9.5/ 9.3
.E IONM4 1022 Z DH18/DC10221418/HGIFF/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft)
.E1  9.2/ 9.1/ 9.0/ 9.0/ 9.1/ 9.3/ 9.8/ 10.6
.E1  11.8/ 13.1/ 14.4/ 15.5/ 16.4/ 17.0/ 17.4/ 17.6
.E1  17.6/ 17.5/ 17.4/ 17.2/ 17.0/ 16.8/ 16.5/ 16.3
.E1  16.0/ 15.8/ 15.6/ 15.3/
:
:
: Grand R  Lowell MI - LWLM4
: HSA:GRR   Flood Stage:15.0 FT   Fcst Issuance Stage:10 FT
: ------------------------------------------------------------
: stages are model simulations.
: ------------------------------------------------------------
.E LWLM4 1021 Z DH18/DC10221418/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft)
.E1  6.2E/ 6.0E/ 6.0E/ 6.1E
.E LWLM4 1022 Z DH18/DC10221418/HGIFF/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft)
.E1  6.0/ 5.9/ 5.8/ 5.8/ 5.8/ 5.9/ 6.1/ 6.3
.E1  6.5/ 6.8/ 7.0/ 7.5/ 8.0/ 8.6/ 9.2/ 9.7
.E1  10.2/ 10.5/ 10.6/ 10.7/ 10.6/ 10.5/ 10.4/ 10.3
.E1  10.1/ 9.9/ 9.8/ 9.6/
:
:
: Thornapple R  Hastings MI - HSTM4
: HSA:GRR   Flood Stage:7.0 FT   Fcst Issuance Stage:5 FT
.E HSTM4 1021 Z DH18/DC10221418/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft)
.E1  4.1/ 4.1/ 4.0/ 4.0
.E HSTM4 1022 Z DH18/DC10221418/HGIFF/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft)
.E1  3.9/ 3.8/ 3.7/ 3.6/ 3.5/ 3.6/ 3.8/ 4.0
.E1  4.3/ 4.6/ 4.9/ 5.1/ 5.3/ 5.5/ 5.6/ 5.6
.E1  5.6/ 5.6/ 5.5/ 5.5/ 5.4/ 5.3/ 5.3/ 5.2
.E1  5.1/ 5.1/ 5.0/ 4.9/
:
:
: Muskegon R  Evart MI - EVRM4
: HSA:GRR   Flood Stage:12.0 FT   Fcst Issuance Stage:10 FT
.E EVRM4 1021 Z DH18/DC10221418/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft)
.E1  7.1/ 7.1/ 7.1/ 7.1
.E EVRM4 1022 Z DH18/DC10221418/HGIFF/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft)
.E1  7.1/ 7.1/ 7.1/ 7.2/ 7.3/ 7.4/ 7.5/ 7.7
.E1  7.9/ 8.0/ 8.2/ 8.3/ 8.3/ 8.4/ 8.4/ 8.5
.E1  8.5/ 8.5/ 8.5/ 8.5/ 8.5/ 8.5/ 8.5/ 8.5
.E1  8.4/ 8.4/ 8.3/ 8.3/
:
:
: Little Muskegon R  Oak Grove MI - OKGM4
: HSA:GRR   Flood Stage:M FT   Fcst Issuance Stage:2.8 FT
.E OKGM4 1021 Z DH18/DC10221418/QIIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Est Inflow (kcfs)
.E1  0.23/ 0.23/ 0.22/ 0.22
.E OKGM4 1022 Z DH18/DC10221418/QIIFF/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Inflow (kcfs)
.E1  0.22/ 0.23/ 0.24/ 0.27/ 0.32/ 0.38/ 0.46/ 0.57
.E1  0.66/ 0.73/ 0.79/ 0.82/ 0.82/ 0.79/ 0.73/ 0.67
.E1  0.62/ 0.57/ 0.51/ 0.47/ 0.42/ 0.39/ 0.36/ 0.33
.E1  0.32/ 0.31/ 0.31/ 0.31/
:
:
:END

 NOTE...  This product includes observed precipitation, plus
          forecast precipitation for the next 48 Hours.

$$

 FCSTR EXT: 2532




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