River Statement
Issued by NWS San Diego, CA

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483
FGUS86 KSGX 212322
RVSSGX
CAZ043-050-060-212315
Hydrologic Statement
National Weather Service San Diego, CA
315 PM PST SAT JAN 21 2017

...River Statement...

San Diego River at Fashion Valley

Forecasts are based on present and forecast meteorological
and hydrological conditions at the time of issuance.

Fashion Valley MONITOR STAGE  7.5 FT, FLOOD STAGE 11.3 FT

                         TIME             STAGE
   OBSERVED              Sat 02 PM         9.2 FT
   ----------------------------------------------------------
   FORECAST
                         Sat 04 PM         9.0 FT
                         Sat 07 PM         8.3 FT
                         Sat 10 PM         7.8 FT
                         Sun 01 AM         7.4 FT
                         Sun 04 AM         7.1 FT
                         Sun 07 AM         6.7 FT
                         Sun 10 AM         6.4 FT
                         Sun 01 PM         6.1 FT
                         Sun 04 PM         6.6 FT

 Outlook: Levels in the San Diego River at Fashion Valley will continue to decline through Sunday morning. Light rainfall will return to the basin by Sunday afternoon, with multiple periods of heavy rain possible Sunday afternoon through Monday. This heavy rainfall will likely result in additional rises in the river level. There is a strong likelihood that the river will again crest at or above flood stage sometime between Sunday night and Monday evening. A preliminary forecast puts the crest at 11.6 ft on Monday, but there is the potential for this to go a little higher.

 Next Update: Sunday 8 PM PST


...River Statement...

San Luis Rey River at Oceanside

Forecasts are based on present and forecast meteorological
and hydrological conditions at the time of issuance.

Oceanside       FLOOD STAGE 21 FT

                         TIME             STAGE
   OBSERVED              Sat 02 PM         9.1 FT
   ----------------------------------------------------------
   FORECAST
                         Sat 07 PM         8.8 FT
                         Sat 10 PM         8.6 FT
                         Sun 01 AM         8.4 FT
                         Sun 04 AM         8.3 FT
                         Sun 07 AM         8.2 FT
                         Sun 10 AM         8.1 FT
                         Sun 01 PM         8.1 FT
                         Sun 04 PM         8.0 FT

 Outlook: Levels in the San Luis Rey River at Oceanside will continue to slowly decline through Sunday morning. Light rainfall will return to the basin by Sunday afternoon, with multiple periods of heavy rain possible Sunday afternoon through Monday. This heavy rainfall will likely result in additional rises in the river level. The current forecast suggests a crest near 11.6 ft during the day on Monday.

 Next Update: Sunday 8 PM PST


...River Statement...

Santa Margarita River at Ysidora

Forecasts are based on present and forecast meteorological
and hydrological conditions at the time of issuance.

Santa Margarita MONITOR STAGE  8.3 FT, FLOOD STAGE 10.8 FT


                        TIME             STAGE
   OBSERVED              Sat 02 PM         6.5 FT
   ----------------------------------------------------------
   FORECAST
                         Sat 07 PM         5.6 FT
                         Sat 10 PM         5.4 FT
                         Sun 01 AM         5.3 FT
                         Sun 04 AM         5.4 FT
                         Sun 07 AM         5.5 FT
                         Sun 10 AM         5.4 FT
                         Sun 01 PM         5.4 FT
                         Sun 04 PM         5.4 FT

 Outlook: Levels in the Santa Margarita River at Ysidora will remain relatively unchanged through Sunday morning. Light rainfall will return to the basin by Sunday afternoon, with multiple periods of heavy rain possible Sunday afternoon through Monday. This heavy rainfall will likely result in additional rises in the river level. The current forecast suggests a crest near 10.2 ft during the day on Monday, but the potential exists for the river to reach minor flood stage (10.8 ft).

 Next Update: Sunday 8 PM PST


...River Statement...

Mohave River at Victorville

Forecasts are based on present and forecast meteorological
and hydrological conditions at the time of issuance.

MOJAVE RIVER AT FLOOD STAGE 16 FT


                         TIME             STAGE
   OBSERVED              Sat 02 PM         8.4 FT
   ----------------------------------------------------------
   FORECAST
                         Sat 07 PM         8.4 FT
                         Sat 10 PM         8.4 FT
                         Sun 01 AM         8.5 FT
                         Sun 04 AM         8.5 FT
                         Sun 07 AM         8.6 FT
                         Sun 10 AM         8.7 FT
                         Sun 01 PM         8.8 FT
                         Sun 04 PM         8.9 FT

 Outlook: Levels in the Mohave River at Victorville will remain relatively unchanged through Sunday morning. Light rainfall will return to the basin early Sunday morning, with periods of moderate rain possible Sunday afternoon through Monday. The additional rainfall, coupled with runoff from the San Bernardino County Mountains, will likely result in additional rises in the river level and flow through the channel. The current forecast suggests a crest near 9.9 ft during the day on Monday.

 Next Update: Sunday 8 PM PST

Stay informed on the latest river forecasts and conditions. Do not drive through
flooded areas or around barricades.


$$

Albright



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