Satellite Precipitation Estimates (TXUS20 KWBC)
Issued by NWS

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000
TXUS20 KNES 251645
SPENES
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
SCZ000-GAZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/25/14 1645Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-EAST:1630Z  JS
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LOCATION...CENT TO E AND SE SOUTH CAROLINA/E GEORGIA...
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ATTN WFOS...ILM...CHS...CAE...FFC...
ATTN RFCS...SERFC...
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EVENT...ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE FEATURES FOR POTENTIAL HEAVY RAIN LATER
THIS AFTERNOON.
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...FOLLOWING ALONG FROM THIS MORNING`S WPC
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK, BEGINNING TO SEE SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT WITH CU
FIELD SOUTH OF SFC BOUNDARY OVER PORTIONS OF GA/SC WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY
NUMEROUS HIGH PROBABILITIES IN THE GOES CONVECTIVE INITIATION PRODUCT. THE
GOES SOUNDER PRODUCTS ARE INDICATING STEADILY INCREASING CAPE ALONG
WSW-ENE AXIS FROM CENT GA OVER CENT TO E SC IN REGION OF DECLINING AND
RELATIVELY LOW CINH WITH 12Z CHARLESTON SOUNDING SHOWING APPROX 2000J/KG
OF POTENTIAL MIXED LAYER CAPE BY THIS AFTERNOON. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY
ALSO SHOWS DIFFERENTIAL HEATING TAKING PLACE ALONG LOW CLOUD BOUNDARY
ASSOCIATED WITH SFC FRONT DRAPED ACROSS THE N PORTION OF SC WHICH SHOULD
INCREASE THE FOCUS FOR SPOTS JUST S OF THIS FEATURE. MOISTURE IS CERTAINLY
PLENTIFUL WITH MORNING RAOB DATA AND RECENT BLENDED TPW PRODUCT INDICATING
AROUND 2" PW VALUES TO GO ALONG WITH SFC DEWPOINTS WELL INTO THE 70`S.
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AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION
THREAT AREA SHOULD BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED
BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY 10-15 MINUTES.
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SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 1700-0000Z...MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...SOUNDING INFORMATION POINTS TOWARD 15KTS
OF INDIVIDUAL CELL MOTION TO THE E THOUGH WEST-EAST AXIS OF HIGHER
INSTABILITY/CAPE AND GENERAL WEST-EAST ORIENTATION OF SFC BOUNDARY
COUPLED WITH WSW LLJ SHOULD LEAD TO SOME TRAINING POTENTIAL TO GO ALONG
WITH THE USUAL MERGING CELLS/OUTFLOWS. ADDITIONALLY, WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
INFERS THE PRESENCE OF A SUBTLE WAVE DEVELOPING WITH INFLECTION POINT
NOTED OVER SW GA/FL PANHANDLE IN MID/UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE AXIS WHICH MAY
AID IN BACKING THE FLOW SLIGHTLY THIS AFTERNOON ALLOWING FOR A LONGER
PERIOD OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN THIS REGION. RECENT RAP FORECAST 850MB
WINDS APPEAR TO SUPPORT THIS SCENARIO OCCURRING A BIT LATER IN THE
AFTERNOON. GIVEN ALL OF THESE FEATURES/TRENDS, CERTAINLY BELIEVE THERE
IS A MED TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR SCATTERED RAIN TOTALS IN THE 2-3" RANGE
WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS FROM E GA ACROSS CENT/S CENT SC TO SE SC.
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
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FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 3373 8085 3363 7863 3235 7886 3211 8081 3228 8218
3335 8223
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