Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary
Issued by NWS

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000
ACPN50 PHFO 071152
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST TUE JUL 7 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII
HAVE CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED...AND SATELLITE WIND DATA
INDICATE THAT THE SURFACE CIRCULATION HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER
DEFINED OVERNIGHT. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL
LIKELY FORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD THE
WEST NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.

2. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST NEAR A WEAK...NEARLY STATIONARY
SURFACE LOW LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HILO...
HAWAII. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS DISORGANIZED...AND ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS DO NOT APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT
IN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

3. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...
HAWAII INCREASED IN COVERAGE...AND HAVE BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER
ORGANIZED OVERNIGHT. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE SOMEWHAT
CONDUCIVE FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES
SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTHEAST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.

$$

HOUSTON






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