Routine Space Environment Product Issued Weekly
Issued by NWS

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FXXX02 KWNP 080300
WEKFOR

:Product: 27-day Space Weather Forecast
:Issued: 2016 Feb 08 0222 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#               27-day Space Weather Forecast
#
Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
08 February - 05 March 2016

Solar activity is expected to be at low levels throughout the
forecast period.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
expected to be at normal to moderate levels with high levels
possible from 12-16 Feb and 19-23 Feb following subsequent CH HSS
events.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at unsettled to active
levels with isolated minor storm periods on 08 Feb due to prolonged
negative Bz and negative polarity CH HSS effects. Quiet to active
conditions are likely to continue into 09 Feb as effects continue
along with a possible glancing blow from the 05 Feb CME. Quiet to
unsettled conditions are expected from 10-12 Feb as a recurrent
positive polarity HSS moves into a geoeffective position. Mostly
quiet conditions are expected from 13-16 Feb. Quiet to unsettled
conditions are expected from 17-19 Feb with active periods possible
on 18 Feb due to effects from a recurrent negative polarity HSS.
Predominately quiet conditions are expected from 20-29 Feb. Quiet to
unsettled conditions are expected with isolated active periods
possible on 01-03 Mar as another positive polarity CH HSS becomes
geoeffective. Quiet conditions are expected to close out the
forecast period.


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