Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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361 FXUS63 KOAX 041738 AFDOAX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE 1138 AM CST THU FEB 4 2016 .SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY) ISSUED AT 230 AM CST THU FEB 4 2016 NO MAJOR ACTIVE WEATHER TO BE CONCERNED WITH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...JUST SMALL CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT FOR AREAS NORTH OF I-80 POPS IN RELATION TO SERIES OF PAC NW SHORTWAVE TROF CROSSING THE NRN/CNTRL PLAINS. SLIGHT POPS SEEMS TO BE THE BEST FIT GIVEN SPARSE MOISTURE AS WELL WE RELATIVELY WEAK UPGLIDE. .LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY) ISSUED AT 230 AM CST THU FEB 4 2016 GOOD CONSENSUS AMONGST THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS LARGE SCALE FLOW BECOME STAGNANT WITH SIGNIFICANT AMPLIFICATION WITH A DEEP TROF OVER THE ERN CONUS AND SHARP RIDGE ALONG THE WEST COAST. FORTUNATELY BULK OF THE ARCTIC AIR MASS WILL FILTER IN THE LOWER 48 WELL EAST OF THE CWA. APPEARS THAT TUESDAY WILL BE THE ONLY DAY AT RISK FOR SEEING WELL BELOW NORMAL MAX TEMPS WITH HIGHS STRUGGLING TO REACH THE LOW/MID 20S. && .AVIATION...
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(18Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.) ISSUED AT 1132 AM CST THU FEB 4 2016 WEAK UPPER TROUGH WILL SPREAD MID LEVEL CIGS INTO THE AREA AS IT TRACKS SOUTHEAST THROUGH 00Z. STRONGER WAVE APPROACHES THE AREA AFTER 06Z WITH CIGS LOWERING TO FL060 AFTER 12Z WITH PATCHY AREAS OF LIGHT SNOW.
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&& .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...NONE. IA...NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...DEE LONG TERM...DEE AVIATION...FOBERT

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