Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000 FXUS63 KOAX 271732 AFDOAX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE 1232 PM CDT MON JUL 27 2015 .SHORT TERM...
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(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY) ISSUED AT 245 AM CDT MON JUL 27 2015 LITTLE CHANGE FOR THE MOST PART WITH SAME GENERAL CONCERNS OF TIMING AND EXTENT OF PRECIP ALONG WITH TEMPERATURES. STRONGEST AREA OF CONVECTION WAS LOCATED OVER CENTRAL KANSAS THIS MORNING WITH IR LOOP SHOWING WARMING TOPS ACROSS NEBRASKA. LATEST RAP DECREASES AND ENDS CONVECTION DURING THE MORNING WITH CHANCES INCREASING AGAIN BY LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING NEAR THE SOUTH DAKOTA BORDER BACK TOWARD CENTRAL NEBRASKA AS COLD FRONT APPROACHES AND LOW LEVEL JET DEVELOPS. CHANCE POPS CONTINUE OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY AS FRONT SLOWLY MAKES ITS WAY THROUGH THE AREA. SOME LINGERING SLIGHT POPS FAR SOUTHEAST TUESDAY EVENING THEN DRY BY LATE TUEDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS FRONT MOVES FURTHER SOUTH. HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY BUT HEAT INDEX EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW CRITERIA SO NO HEADLINES AT THIS TIME. HUMID CONDITIONS WILL HANG ON OVER THE AREA UNTIL FRONTAL PASSAGE ON TUESDAY WITH SOUTHEAST PARTS OF THE AREA STILL FEELING THE HEAT AND HUMIDITY INTO TUESDAY EVENING. DRIER AIR COMES IN BEHIND THE FRONT WITH SEASONAL TEMPERATURES FOR WEDNESDAY. .LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY) ISSUED AT 245 AM CDT MON JUL 27 2015 EXTENDED MODELS MAINTAIN GENERAL TRENDS FROM PAST RUNS AS UPPER HIGH CENTER RETROGRADES WEST AND TROUGH DEEPENS IN THE EAST. SEASONAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH PERIODIC CHANCE OF STORMS.
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&& .AVIATION...
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(18Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.) ISSUED AT 1229 PM CDT MON JUL 27 2015 SITES SHOULD REMAIN FREE OF PRECIPITATION OR LOWERED CEILINGS/VIS FOR THE REST OF TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL BRING SHOWERS/STORMS LATE TONIGHT TO THE AREAS OF KOFK/KOMA AT LEAST. CONFIDENCE IS LOW ON TIMING AND COVERAGE...BUT DID MAKE A BEST GUESS FOR A PERIOD OF SHOWERS TO AFFECT KOFK/KOMA JUST AHEAD OF FRONTAL PASSAGE. LEFT KLNK DRY FOR NOW WITH EVEN LOWER CONFIDENCE IN ITS VICINITY. WINDS WILL SWITCH TO NORTHWESTERLY BEHIND THE FRONT...WHICH SHOULD REACH KOFK BY MID/LATE MORNING AND SHOULD JUST START TO AFFECT KLNK/KOMA BY THE END OF THE TAF CYCLE.
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&& .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...NONE. IA...NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...FOBERT LONG TERM...FOBERT AVIATION...MAYES

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