Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000 FXUS63 KOAX 251106 AFDOAX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE 606 AM CDT TUE AUG 25 2015 .SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT) ISSUED AT 308 AM CDT TUE AUG 25 2015 ANOTHER PLEASANT DAY IS EXPECTED WITH CONTINUED BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. PCPN RETURNS TO THE FORECAST LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. BROAD UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY OVER THE ROCKIES WILL AMPLIFY SLIGHTLY TODAY WHILE DOWNSTREAM TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTH FROM A TIGHTLY WRAPPED LOW OVER SOUTHEASTERN ONTARIO SLOWLY SHIFTS EAST. AT THE SURFACE...A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS N/S ACROSS THE NATION`S MID-SECTION AND WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH EAST TODAY ALLOWING WEAK SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW TO SET UP TO OUR WEST. HIGHS TODAY WILL BE CLOSE TO MONDAY`S READINGS IN THE UPPER 70S TO AROUND 80 AS MIXING REMAINS WEAK. SHORTWAVE ENERGY CURRENTLY OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE UP THE WESTERN U.S. RIDGE AND INTO THE HIGH PLAINS BY MID WEEK. AHEAD OF THIS...INCREASING WARM AIR ADVECTION AND ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE WILL PROVIDE A CHANCE FOR OVERNIGHT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME LIKELY AND MORE WIDESPREAD ON THURSDAY IN ADVANCE OF APPROACHING SHORTWAVE ENERGY. STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL JET SHOULD SUSTAIN ACTIVITY INTO FRIDAY MORNING. .LONG TERM...(FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY) ISSUED AT 308 AM CDT TUE AUG 25 2015 SHORTWAVE TROUGH AXIS IS FORECAST TO EXTEND OVER THE MISSOURI RIVER VALLEY BY 12Z FRIDAY WITH STRONG SFC TROUGH/COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTHEAST AROUND THE SAME TIME. PCPN SHOULD EXIT TO THE EAST BY EARLY IN THE DAY. BUILDING UPPER HEIGHTS WILL FILL IN BEHIND THIS SHORTWAVE BRINGING A RETURN TO MORE NORMAL TEMPERATURES LATE IN THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. && .AVIATION...(12Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.) ISSUED AT 606 AM CDT TUE AUG 25 2015 VFR CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. COULD BE SOME PATCHY 6SM GROUND FOG AT KOMA FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. && .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...NONE. IA...NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...KERN LONG TERM...KERN AVIATION...DEWALD

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