Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000 FXUS63 KOAX 301100 AFDOAX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE 600 AM CDT THU JUL 30 2015 .SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY) ISSUED AT 220 AM CDT THU JUL 30 2015 HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL BE OVER THE LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY TODAY WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SLOWLY SOUTH TONIGHT REACHING THE NORTHERN NEBRASKA BORDER BY FRIDAY MORNING AND SOUTHERN NEBRASKA BY EARLY FRIDAY EVENING. THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BRING A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE AREA LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY NIGHT AS IT STALLS ACROSS NORTHERN KANSAS THEN WASHES OUT BY SATURDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY NIGHT FOR MUCH OF THE AREA AS SHORT WAVE ENERGY MOVES ACROSS THE REGION IN STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW. LITTLE IN THE WAY OF COOLING DURING THE PERIOD WITH TEMPERATURES AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS. .LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY) ISSUED AT 220 AM CDT THU JUL 30 2015 AREA REMAINS IN NORTHWEST FLOW THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH WESTERN RIDGE AND EASTERN TROUGH IN PLACE IN THE UPPER PATTERN. PERIODIC CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM MONDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA AND STALLS. MAJOR DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE GFS AND EURO DURING THIS TIME WITH MORE ENERGY AND FLATTER RIDGE ASSOCIATED WITH THE EURO. AS A RESULT HAVE LIMITED POPS TO LOW CHANCE CATEGORY AT THIS TIME. && .AVIATION...(12Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.) ISSUED AT 600 AM CDT THU JUL 30 2015 PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE AROUND SUNRISE TODAY AND AGAIN FRIDAY BUT CHANCES ARE TOO LOW TO MENTION IN TAFS AT THIS TIME. GENERALLY LOOK FOR VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. && .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...NONE. IA...NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...FOBERT LONG TERM...FOBERT AVIATION...MILLER

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