Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000
FXUS63 KOAX 300810
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
310 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 310 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014


NIL LARGE SCALE PATTERN CHANGE OVER THE LAST 48 HRS WITH UPPER RIDGE
WEST AND ANOMALOUS DEEP TROF EAST PREVAILING. AT THIS POINT SEE
LITTLE REASON FROM DEVIATING FROM GOING RELATIVELY COOL AND DRY FCST
HEADING INTO THIS WEEKEND. NO DISAGREEMENT AMONGST THE MODELS WHERE
THE BULK OF PCPN ACTIVITY WILL BE FOUND DURING THIS TIME...CNTRL
HIGH PLAINS/SW KS/ERN OK WHERE BEST ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE/MOISTURE WILL
BE FOUND. OTHERWISE WILL MAINTAIN AFTN HIGHS IN THE LOW/MID 80S AND
OVERNIGHT LOWS AROUND 60.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 310 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

MODELS AGREE LARGE SCALE FLOW WILL FOR THE MOST PART REMAIN
STAGNANT THRU EARLY NEXT WEEK. DAY 6 AND 7 THOUGH...THE ECM PROGS A
POTENT VORT MAX DROPPING OUT OF THE DAKOTAS WITH ATTENDANT COLD
FRONT MOVING INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS. GFS ON THE OTHER HAND DEPICTS A
VERY WEAK SHORTWAVE COMING THRU. CANNOT TOTALLY DISCOUNT SOME PCPN
ACTIVITY DEVELOPING AT THIS POINT...THUS WILL GO WITH SMALL POPS
TUES/TUES NIGHT AND WED PDS. OTHERWISE...NEAR OR JUST BELOW NORM
TEMPS STILL APPEAR ON THE HORIZON.

&&

.AVIATION...(06Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1125 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014

STILL EXPECT MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS TO DOMINATE THROUGH THE PERIOD.
SOME FOG IS POSSIBLE TOWARD SUNRISE...ESPECIALLY AT KOMA. WINDS
WILL BE LIGHT.

WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH/VORT MAX NEAR THE ND/SD BORDER WAS STILL
DROPPING SEWD WITH SOME MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS. FOR NOW...IT DOES
NOT SEEM THAT THERE WILL BE ENOUGH MOISTURE TO WORK WITH IF THAT
MOVES INTO OUR AREA WEDNESDAY...BUT WILL NEED TO MONITOR.


&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...DEE
LONG TERM...DEE
AVIATION...MILLER



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