Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000
FXUS63 KOAX 182321
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
521 PM CST Sat Nov 18 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Tuesday)
Issued at 245 PM CST Sat Nov 18 2017

Forecast concerns in the short term will be diminishing
winds...then temperatures/clouds.

The storm system that affected the local area with a trace to half
an inch of rain (NWS Valley/0.07 OFK/.23 OMA/.06 LNK) has quickly
moved off to the east. Despite gusty northwest winds...sunshine
has helped boost readings into the 40s and lower 50s.

Tonight...the winds aloft will gradually decrease. Northwest
surface winds 10 to 15kts should quickly drop to 10kts or less
within an hour or so after sunset. Some patchy mid clouds with
weak h7 warm air advection is possible tonight. Another patch of
clouds should mainly skirt the area to the northeast Sunday. The
low level flow will become more southwest.

A weak shortwave in the flow aloft should bring thickening clouds
Sunday night and Monday and if thick enough could adversely
affect high temperatures. Highs Sunday should be in the 50s.
Expect highs in the 50s and 60s for Monday with enough sunshine
and southwest flow ahead of the front that arrives Monday night.
The front moves through dry, although look for increased clouds.
Brisk northwest winds should hold temperatures down into the
30s/40s for highs Tuesday.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Saturday)
Issued at 245 PM CST Sat Nov 18 2017

The Thanksgiving travel forecast is looking warm and mainly dry. A
1032+mb high pressure system will build in for Tuesday night with
the brunt of the cold air over the Great Lakes. Return flow sets
up for Wednesday...however the real warming occurs Thanksgiving
and Friday with highs in the 50s and 60s. Boosted highs above the
blends more in line with the GFS/EC warmer temperatures for
Friday. Heights lower later Friday and Saturday with a trough
broadening into the Northern Plains and Great Lakes. There may be
some light rain with the cold front Friday night. Falling temperatures
are predicted for Saturday with highs dropping back closer to
normal behind the cold front with northwest winds/readings in the
40s to lower 50s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 519 PM CST Sat Nov 18 2017

Winds around 12 knots at TAF issuance diminish quickly by 01-02z,
then become light and variable. Winds become southwest around 220
degrees by 15-17z and could increase to 11 to 12 knots by 19-20z.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Zapotocny
LONG TERM...Zapotocny
AVIATION...DeWald



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