Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000
FXUS63 KOAX 260835
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
235 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 235 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014

TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE PRIMARY FORECAST CONCERN
THROUGH THE SHORT TERM.

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WAS LOCATED OVER NORTHWEST IOWA AT 08Z. AREA
OF PRECIP ABOUT READY TO EXIT THE SOUTHEAST PORTION OF THE
FORECAST AREA AS UPPER TROUGH DIGS TOWARD NORTHWEST MISSOURI.
NOT A LOT OF COLD AIR COMING INTO EASTERN NEBRASKA ON THE BACKSIDE
OF THIS SYSTEM WITH MOST STATIONS STILL IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S AT
08Z. LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTING A STEADY OR SLOWLY FALLING TREND
TO TEMPERATURES TODAY AS GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS SPREAD INTO THE
AREA. A FEW FLURRIES POSSIBLE THROUGH THE MORNING BEFORE CLOUDS
DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON AS HIGH BUILDS SOUTH INTO THE REGION. AREA
THEN DRY BUT COLD WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AS COLD AIR
LINGERS BEFORE SHIFTING EAST LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.

STRONG WARMING STILL ON TAP FOR FRIDAY AS MORE ZONAL UPPER FLOW
DEVELOPS...BUT COLD FRONT POISED ALONG THE NORTHERN U.S. BORDER
FOR A RETURN TO COLDER CONDITIONS IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 205 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014

WARM AIR EXPECTED TO HOLD ON THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE THE NORTHERN
PLAINS COLD FRONT BEGINS TO IMPACT NORTHERN PARTS OF THE AREA
SATURDAY NIGHT...MOVING SOUTH ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA ON
SUNDAY. 00Z OPERATIONAL MODELS VARY ON SOLUTIONS AFTER THIS TIME FOR
EARLY NEXT WEEK SO CONFIDENCE ON THE LOW SIDE IN TRENDS OF MODEL
GUIDANCE AT THIS POINT.

&&

.AVIATION...(06Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1124 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

SCATTERED PRECIPITATION WILL MOVE THROUGH THE TAF SITES DURING THE
FIRST FEW HOURS. TEMPERATURES REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING SO
PRECIPITATION TYPE SHOULD REMAIN AS RAIN FOR THE MOST PART. A MIX
OF RA/SN CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT AS WE CONTINUE TO SLOWLY
DROP SFC TEMPERATURES EARLY THIS MORNING. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL
CONTINUE TO MARCH THROUGH THE AREA...AND HAS ALREADY MOVED THROUGH
KOFK. WINDS BEHIND THIS FRONT WILL GUST AT OR ABOVE 30KTS AND
THESE GUSTY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY
BEFORE DIMINISHING THIS EVENING.


&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FOBERT
LONG TERM...FOBERT
AVIATION...KERN


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