Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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FXUS63 KOAX 290414

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
1114 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016

Issued at 1110 PM CDT Sat May 28 2016

Considered adding a slight chance of showers to parts of eastern
NE overnight as convection across the high plains shifts east.
Latest runs of the HRRR and 00z Nam/GFS all suggest that these
thundershowers should rain themselves out before the reach our
area, but will continue to monitor. if they hold together, there
could be a few sprinkles, but for now will just increase the cloud
cover a bit.


.SHORT TERM...(tonight through Tuesday)
Issued at 300 PM CDT Sat May 28 2016

Upper low over northwest Iowa at 19z with scattered showers and
thunderstorms across eastern Nebraska and southwest Iowa. Precip
will lift northeast with the system into early evening as it
tracks toward the upper midwest with clouds also decreasing with
loss of heating.

Dry conditions for the area tonight into early Sunday as upper
flow flattens behind the departing trough. A limited chance of
additional showers returns Sunday afternoon and Sunday night as
some elevated instability moves into parts of the area. Small POPs
then extend into early Monday before increasing in the afternoon
and overnight as a northern stream trough pushes into the
northern plains region preceeded by a fairly strong cold front.
Except for the NAM, models similar with the timing of the front
into eastern Nebraska by Tuesday morning and far southeast by
early evening with precipitation ending northwest to southeast
during the day.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Saturday)
Issued at 300 PM CDT Sat May 28 2016

Models in better agreement today in the early part of the extended
period with GFS now showing a progressive trough moving across the
region in line with yesterdays ECMWF solution. Trended toward dry
conditions through Friday with small POPs Saturday as weak surface
boundary expected in the area.


.AVIATION...(06Z TAFS for KOMA...KLNK...KOFK through 06Z Monday)
Issued at 1110 PM CDT Sat May 28 2016

vfr conditions through the period.


.OAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


LONG TERM...Fobert
AVIATION...DeWald is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.