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000
FXUS04 KWBC 141006
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
605 AM EDT FRI JUN 14 2013


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JUN 14/1200 UTC THRU JUN 17/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


UPDATE

NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES MADE TO THE PRELIM DAY 1 QPF FOR THE FINAL
ISSUANCE.


DAY 1

EASTERN NEW ENGLAND

THE STRONG SURFACE LOW MOVING EASTWARD TO THE SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND
EARLY THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH EASTWARD OFF THE
SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND COAST AND TO THE SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA DAY 1.
 THE ORGANIZED OVERRUNNING PRECIPITATION WITH THIS LOW WILL BE
COMING TO AN END AT THE BEGINNING OF THE DAY 1 PERIOD WITH ONLY
LIGHT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS EXPECTED FOR EASTERN NEW ENGLAND.

CENTRAL TO EASTERN GULF COAST/NORTHERN FL

THE TRAILING FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM THE LOW MOVING OFF THE NEW
ENGLAND COAST WILL PUSH SLOWLY SOUTHWARD INTO THE CENTRAL TO
EASTERN GULF COASTAL AREA AND NORTHERN FLORIDA.  SCATTERED
CONVECTION POSSIBLE ALONG THIS FRONT---WITH ISOLATED MODERATE TO
HEAVY TOTALS POSSIBLE---ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA WHERE
FRONTAL CONVERGENCE IS FORECAST TO BE STRONGEST.

IN THE VICINITY OF THE BIG BEND---NORTHWARD INTO WESTERN TX

CONVECTION EXPECTED TO REMAIN ACTIVE AHEAD OF A MID TO UPPER LEVEL
CIRCULATION FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD THIS PERIOD ACROSS
WESTERN TX.  PW VALUES EXPECTED TO REMAIN MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE IN
THE VICINITY OF THIS UPPER CIRCULATION---2-3 STANDARD DEVIATIONS
ABOVE THE MEAN.  THIS WILL SUPPORT ISOLATED HEAVY PRECIPITATION
TOTALS FROM THE BIG BEND--NORTHWARD THROUGH PORTIONS OF WEST TX.
CONFIDENCE IS NOT GREAT WITH QPF DETAILS GIVEN THE MODEL SPREAD.
THE DAY 1 QPF LEANED TOWARD THE ECMWF AND IN HOUSE PSEUDO BIAS
CORRECTED ENSEMBLE MEAN---WITH AREAL AVERAGE .25-.50"+ AMOUNTS
DEPICTED.

NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY

STRONG HEIGHT FALLS WILL BE PUSHING NORTHEASTWARD OUT OF THE
NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY FRIDAY INTO EARLY
SATURDAY---PUSHING THE ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BOUNDARY EASTWARD THIS
PERIOD. THE ORGANIZED CONVECTION EARLY THIS MORNING OVER EASTERN
MT WILL LIKELY HAVE PUSHED TO THE NORTH OF THE U.S./CANADIAN
BORDER BY THE BEGINNING OF THE DAY 1 PERIOD.  ADDITIONAL
CONVECTION POSSIBLE ALONG THE EASTWARD MOVING FRONT IN THE AXIS OF
ABOVE AVERAGE PW VALUES ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT.  THE DAY 1
QPF DID NOT DEVIATE FROM THE MODEL CONSENSUS OF MODERATE AREAL
AVERAGE PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS IN THE VICINITY OF THIS FRONT OVER
THE NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MS VALLEY REGION.


CENTRAL PLAINS INTO PORTIONS OF THE MO RIVER VALLEY

CONCERNS FOR HEAVY RAINS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING ARE
ALONG THE WEST TO EAST ORIENTED FRONTAL BOUNDARY FORECAST ACROSS
THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO PORTIONS OF THE MO RIVER VALLEY.  SHORT
WAVE ENERGY PUSHING EASTWARD ON THE TOP SIDE OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS
UPPER RIDGE WILL ENHANCE UVVS ALONG THIS BOUNDARY IN THE AXIS OF
HIGH PW VALUES---1.5-1.75"--IN THE VICINITY OF THE BOUNDARY.  THIS
WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED CONVECTION FRIDAY
NIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY MORNING ACROSS THESE AREAS.  THE LOW LEVEL
FLOW WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY WESTERLY AFTER 0000 UTC
SAT---SUPPORTING POTENTIAL FOR TRAINING OR BACK BUILDING OF CELLS
ALONG THE BOUNDARY.  IN AREAS OF TRAINING..ISOLATED SHORT TERM
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS OF 1-2"+ POSSIBLE.


DAYS 2/3...


...NORTHEAST/MID ATLANTIC...

A SURFACE FRONT STRETCHING FROM NEW ENGLAND INTO THE OHIO VALLEY
WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR QPF...MAINLY DURING DAY 3. THERE WAS GOOD
MODEL AGREEMENT CONCERNING THE SEQUENCE OF EVENTS HERE...SO BLEND
OF THE 00Z ECMWF/GFS/NAM WAS USED TO CONSTRUCT THE QPF.

AS MENTIONED ABOVE...A FRONT WILL STRETCH FROM NEW ENGLAND INTO
THE OHIO VALLEY BY THE END OF DAY 3. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
REACHING NEAR 1.75 INCHES WILL RIDE THE NOSE OF A 30 TO 40 KNOT
LOW LEVEL JET AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS WESTERN PA AND WESTERN NY.
THE BEST LIFT OCCURS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS OF SUN
AHEAD OF A SHORT WAVE...WHICH TRACKS INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND SUN
NIGHT.

POCKETS OF INSTABILITY AREA EXPECTED MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING HOURS SUN...AS MODEL SOUNDINGS ACROSS PA AND NY STATE
INDICATE MARGINAL INSTABILITY IN A UNIDIRECTIONAL ENVIRONMENT.
THIS INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE SHOULD HELP SPARK MAINLY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING CONVECTION...WITH THE BEST CONCENTRATIONS ACROSS
EASTERN KY INTO WV...IN ADDITION TO WESTERN PA AND WESTERN NY
STATE. IN THESE AREAS...SWATHS OF 0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES OF QPF WERE
PLACED...WITH A LARGER AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES ACROSS THE MID
ATLANTIC INTO NEW ENGLAND.

THE THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NUMBERS REMAIN FAIRLY LOW
ACROSS WV...BUT THE 0.75 INCH QPF THERE IS STILL BELOW THESE
NUMBERS. ANY ORGANIZED CONVECTION ROLLING THROUGH THE STATE COULD
PRODUCE LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...BUT FOR NOW NO SLIGHT RISK AREA
WAS OUTLINED.


...FL...

MAINLY DIURNAL CONVECTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE PENINSULA FOR BOTH
DAYS 2 AND 3. THERE WAS GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT CONCERNING THE
SYNOPTIC SETUP OVER FL...AS WELL AS THE TIMING OF THE CONVECTION.
A BLEND OF THE 00Z MODEL SUITE GUIDANCE WAS USED TO CONSTRUCT THE
QPF.

MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS (WITH TALL THIN
CAPE PROFILES) DURING THE AFTERNOON ON DAY 2...IN A WEAKLY SHEARED
ENVIRONMENT. HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS (SUCH AS THE 00Z NAM) SHOW SEA
BREEZE CONVERGENCE IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON...WITH THE SEA BREEZE
CONVERGENCE SHIFTING TO THE WEST COAST DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. CONVECTION SHOULD FIRE ON THE SEA BREEZE
CONVERGENCE...PEAK IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND LINGER INTO THE
EVENING...AS PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES STAY NEAR 1.75 INCHES. THIS
SHOULD SUPPORT A STRIPE OF 0.15 TO 0.25 INCHES QPF...CENTERED
CLOSER TO THE WEST COAST.

A REPEAT PERFORMANCE IS EXPECTED ON DAY 3...WITH SIMILAR
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS. HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS AGAIN SUPPORT THE
IDEA OF WEST COAST SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE BEING THE FIRING LINE
FOR CONVECTION...WHICH SHOULD LAST INTO THE EVENING. AGAIN...THIS
THIS SHOULD SUPPORT A STRIPE OF 0.15 TO 0.25 INCHES QPF...
CENTERED CLOSER TO THE WEST COAST.


...GREAT LAKES/MIDWEST/OHIO VALLEY....

INCREASING MOISTURE RIDING LOW LEVEL JETS SUPPORT THE IDEA OF
CONVECTIVE COMPLEX(ES) AFFECTING THE AREA...MAINLY DURING DAY 2.
WHILE MOST OF THE 00Z MODEL SUITE MEMBERS SHOWED THIS
POTENTIAL...THE QPF FORECAST WAS BASED MAINLY ON A 00Z ECMWF/GFS
BLEND.

PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES INCREASE ON THE NOSE OF A 30 TO 40 KNOT
LOW LEVEL JET IN THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES EARLY ON DAY 2. THERE IS A
MULTI MODEL SIGNAL SUGGESTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF ONE OR MORE
CONVECTIVE COMPLEXES ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS BETWEEN 03Z AND 06Z
SUN...AND THIS IS EVIDENT IN THE NAM 4 KM SYNTHETIC SATELLITE
IMAGERY FOR NE AND IA BY 06Z SUN. THE COMPLEXES THEN APPEAR TO
WEAK TOWARD 12Z SUN AS THEY APPROACH EASTERN IA AND WESTERN IL.
BEFORE THEN...MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW MODERATE INSTABILITY AND
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR 1.50 INCHES. THE COMBINATION SHOULD
SUPPORT A SWATH OF 0.75 TO 1.25 INCHES OF QPF ACROSS EASTERN
IA...NORTHERN IL AND SOUTHERN WI.

THERE IS EVIDENCE THAT AN MCV COULD REMAIN VIABLE INTO THE
AFTERNOON HOURS ACROSS IL...SOUTHERN MI INTO IN DURING THE LATE
MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT THE MCV SHOULD
ENCOUNTER MODERATE INSTABILITY WITH A UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND
PROFILE...SUGGESTING ORGANIZATION. SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT SHOULD COME
IN THE FORM OF DIFLUENCE IN THE RIGHT REAR QUADRANT OF A 90 KNOT
JET STREAK. THIS COMBINATION SHOULD RESULT IN ANOTHER SWATH OF
0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES OF QPF EXTENDING INTO IN AND WESTERN OH BY THE
END OF DAY 2. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT SEVERAL 00Z GEFS AND ECMWF
ENSEMBLE MEMBERS SHOW 2+ INCH QPF AMOUNTS POSSIBLE WITH THE
CONVECTIVE COMPLEXES.

ON DAY 3...MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL FOCUS ON A FRONT ACROSS
THE MIDWEST INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW MODERATE
INSTABILITY IN A MODERATELY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT...RESULTING IN A
STRIPE OF 0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES OF QPF ACROSS CENTRAL IL INTO
SOUTHERN IN.

FURTHER NORTH...A SHORT WAVE DROPPING OUT OF AB WILL BRUSH THE
GREAT LAKES. MOISTURE IS LIMITED WITH THIS FEATURE...AS
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES DROP BELOW AN INCH DURING THE SECOND
HALF OF THE PERIOD. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW SOME INSTABILITY...SO A
SWATH OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED ACROSS NORTHERN WI
AND NORTHERN MI.


...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS...

MOISTURE RETURNING TO PORTIONS OF TX INTO OK AND KS ON DAY 2 WILL
FUEL DEVELOPING CONVECTION ON DAY 2...AND A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL
BE THE FOCUS FOR CONVECTION ON DAY 3. THERE WAS GOOD CLUSTERING OF
THE 00Z MODELS ON THE OVERALL SEQUENCE OF EVENTS...BUT THERE WAS
SOME SPREAD ON THE POSITIONING OF THE QPF MAXIMA. TO HELP RESOLVE
THESE DIFFERENCES...A BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF/GFS WAS USED FOR THE
QPF FORECAST.

AS MENTIONED ABOVE...MOISTURE RETURNS TO PORTIONS OF WEST TX INTO
OK AND EVENTUALLY KS DURING DAY 2. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
BETWEEN 1.25 AND 1.50 INCHES RIDES A 25 TO 35 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET
AHEAD OF THE DRY LINE...FUELING CONVECTION IN THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HOURS. A PASSING MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE COULD HELP WITH THE
CONVECTIVE COVERAGE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS OK AND KS. MODEL SOUNDINGS
SHOW MODERATE INSTABILITY...WITH THE BEST INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE
DRY LINE IN TX. A STRIPE OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED
NEAR THE DRY LINE IN TX...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS INTO WESTERN OK AND
KS.

ON DAY 3...A SURFACE BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
INTO THE MIDWEST WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT.
THERE IS MORE MODEL SPREAD ON THE QPF AMOUNTS AND PLACEMENT ON DAY
3 THAN DAY 2...AS THE DIFFERENT MODELS PLACE THE BEST INSTABILITY
IN DIFFERENT PLACES ALONG THE BOUNDARY. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
INCREASE TO BETWEEN 1.75 AND 2.00 INCHES ACROSS OK/KS DURING THE
SECOND HALF OF THE DAY (WHICH IS TWO STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE
NORMAL)...AND MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY
IN A FAIRLY WEAKLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.

THE ABOVE SHOULD SUPPORT AN AREA OF 0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES OF QPF
CENTERED ON SOUTHERN KS AND MUCH OF OK. THESE NUMBERS ARE
GENERALLY NEAR OR BELOW THE MODEL CONSENSUS QPF...AND MUCH LESS
THAN THE 00Z GFS. IN FACT...SEVERAL GEFS MEMBERS SHOW 2/3+ INCHES
OF QPF IN THIS AREA. WHILE THE POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTION IN THE
MOISTURE RICH ENVIRONMENT IS CERTAINLY POSSIBLE...LOWER THAN
AVERAGE CONFIDENCE IN THE DETAILS PRECLUDES HIGHER QPF AMOUNTS.


ORAVEC/HAYES


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 15/12Z
 0.01 562005 562989 560983 559974 557956 555941 551928 546920
      540912 533904 523894 511887 505882 499880 491881 484880
      480879 477878 471879 468877 463878 460877 452878 444877
      436877 426879 422878 416879 410878 402881 398887 396894
      394931 381942 378948 376952 377954 384961 389969 391973
      391978 386980 384982 380984 375985 370985 365983 359982
      352985 318989 311990 304991 287990 283989 278990 271988
      263986 253988 244995 250004 251011 251017 251021 253024
      257028 268038 273041 278046 306054 318062 327072 333076
      339075 350069 364063 376055 380053 385051 389054 394054
      398054 401049 401047 402044 405043 413042 418040 421033
      422019 425001 427993 431985 433983 436984 441987 444991
      454002 460009 465017 467020 469026 471031 472040 472052
      474060 473081 479090 482091 484096 487105 487117 488119
      486124 483127 480128 478126 473125 470122 471116 473112
      475106 477103 472095 469092 464092 458092 455096 453098
      448099 443101 441104 441107 441115 443126 442140 441143
      439148 439153 441157 444160 446163 452165 461166 468163
      473165 476168 481172 483176 490184 495191 506203 510210
      512214 516218 521224 524222 526218 529215 533215 536212
      538206 536202 537195 540182 540177 539175 537170 534167
      532164 529154 524144 520131 518127 517117 516107 517100
      519095 523092 526090 531090 540089 547088 553080 557073
      558063 560055 561043 562035 561013 562005
 0.01 478681 475677 471674 461673 453674 449674 445677 444674
      446669 445664 443660 439658 432657 422663 417667 413673
      408682 404692 398700 390720 385728 383736 385744 388747
      390749 392753 395756 397765 401764 405762 413765 417766
      422763 424758 429759 438757 442756 447753 450751 450748
      451742 448735 445733 437734 431737 428736 423735 417736
      413736 408739 405738 406735 409724 410721 413718 419714
      425711 430708 434700 439689 442685 446691 449693 453695
      457694 461696 464700 467701 471699 472694 476686 478681
 0.01 413797 410794 406792 403793 399791 393793 388796 383799
      383803 385807 389809 392808 395810 398809 404807 409804
      414800 413797
 0.01 328778 325772 321770 311764 305767 301770 299774 297779
      288787 282791 274793 265793 261789 257787 252787 246790
      242792 241794 241801 240806 240811 240816 242819 244818
      245816 248811 251806 257809 266810 269810 271813 272819
      272825 272828 271832 273838 273843 273847 272852 274859
      275865 276872 277877 279881 283898 285905 288909 291913
      293919 296935 298941 301947 305949 311950 315950 319950
      324945 326941 325934 322931 321926 310911 307908 306904
      305896 305881 307869 306863 308859 310846 313834 317811
      328778
 0.25 555037 555029 552027 551028 548031 546028 543026 538025
      534023 531020 528018 526016 523018 521021 516024 508028
      502024 497026 493028 488037 486049 487057 488061 490067
      493071 497077 501081 505083 512082 520077 529074 537072
      545068 552059 553055 555047 555037
 0.25 548997 544985 540977 530957 524949 519944 511938 506932
      500925 493921 490919 484919 481921 481924 497929 505933
      508936 509938 507941 515959 524977 529985 535993 541999
      545002 548997
 0.25 522187 522182 521177 519173 517172 516171 514171 513171
      511175 511180 512183 513185 515187 517189 520191 522187
 0.25 518992 516988 514983 511979 513984 512988 515991 517992
      518993 518992
 0.25 490961 488956 485952 480950 475947 472945 469943 464945
      463949 463954 464954 468957 474959 477960 482962 486964
      489963 490961
 0.25 451931 451923 448915 446912 443908 439905 434903 427901
      422901 416904 408908 404912 402917 401928 400936 399941
      397944 393946 390950 389954 391957 395964 401975 405985
      411993 413999 414999 418994 420990 424982 429972 435964
      438959 442956 446953 448949 448941 449937 451931
 0.25 307805 305803 303804 300803 295806 293809 293814 293819
      294824 296830 298832 301837 303834 305828 306823 307819
      307815 307808 307805
 0.25 343014 344007 342001 335998 328997 318997 308997 302997
      285995 280995 275997 271001 269004 268010 268015 270020
      275025 279031 284035 293037 306036 318036 323036 328035
      335032 339025 340017 343014
 0.50 542058 543054 542050 540046 534043 526041 520039 515038
      511039 508040 505044 504048 504054 508063 512068 516070
      520070 528068 535065 541060 542058
 0.50 437927 436920 432914 431911 427910 423909 416912 412917
      409922 407926 404939 403944 403949 405958 407968 410972
      415984 419980 423975 428965 433952 436944 438939 437927
 0.50 335011 334007 330005 324002 318001 310000 296999 290998
      282998 277002 274007 274012 275016 279021 284025 290027
      304028 313028 318030 322030 325028 326023 326018 331014
      335011
 1.00 429941 429937 428933 426929 423929 421931 420931 418935
      417936 417940 417944 417948 417951 417952 417955 418959
      418960 421961 424959 424958 425954 426952 427949 427945
      428943 429941
 1.00 316013 315009 314008 311007 305004 302004 297005 291004
      286004 283006 282013 284016 289018 292019 298020 303019
      308017 311015 316013

24HR QP VT 16/12Z
0.01 567025 567009 567995 565980 564972 563967 560949 559940
      557936 554922 551908 550899 548893 547884 545874 535851
      524827 514810 511801 505797 500794 495799 492802 490806
      485800 481795 479795 475794 471795 462800 457802 455803
      452802 448803 445801 442801 439800 435798 427801 416807
      413809 411813 402812 396812 388814 384816 383820 382824
      383830 385836 385841 380848 376855 375863 375883 375889
      369891 364892 360896 357903 355907 354912 353916 354923
      352928 350931 345934 340938 335943 333947 333950 331954
      328951 327949 323942 315930 310921 306912 304901 304896
      305892 307871 307864 305853 300848 297847 294849 292851
      293856 295866 297871 296876 296885 291887 290889 288891
      288895 289914 291923 295931 296935 301936 306944 311952
      316960 321966 321975 321980 318981 314982 312985 306990
      298994 293998 290003 290009 292015 294018 298019 305022
      316021 330014 344004 350001 357000 372003 385006 388003
      392005 391011 387012 382013 379016 373025 371029 370034
      369040 369045 369051 371054 373058 378059 387059 395059
      401061 407061 413057 415052 411045 408042 410038 415038
      416036 421034 423030 426023 430012 437990 444973 447960
      450952 452943 454935 454924 458922 463923 466923 468920
      470916 474912 476908 480908 485913 494928 497934 498942
      497957 497961 496971 497979 498989 500008 500027 499036
      498042 499048 502069 509089 516110 519115 523120 529130
      536138 540139 543137 549133 551129 553121 554112 556106
      556098 557088 567025
 0.01 535220 536212 535207 534200 532195 532190 528182 522171
      521164 519159 518148 517143 516135 514130 513127 510126
      506128 500135 498144 498154 498168 502182 502190 504193
      506197 506201 503206 499215 502229 508254 509259 510265
      515272 519269 522262 525257 527247 535220
 0.01 403038 400035 400034 399031 397028 396031 395035 395036
      394038 395040 398040 400040 403038
 0.01 299818 293814 285812 282810 279807 273802 268803 265806
      259812 256816 259820 261823 265825 273827 280829 284830
      290827 292824 295825 298822 299818
 0.25 550088 549080 546073 543065 541060 538058 534057 529050
      525045 523043 520043 514044 511049 510060 511070 513078
      515086 520101 524107 528114 533117 538117 542112 545103
      550088
 0.25 543927 542922 542917 541912 539911 537909 536905 533909
      530910 530912 530916 532921 534925 535926 538929 539930
      542929 543927
 0.25 480869 478867 478866 476862 474858 471855 470855 467855
      464854 463858 463863 463866 463867 463872 464872 467872
      470873 472872 473872 476872 479871 480869
 0.25 454875 455871 453869 451867 446857 434837 427836 418839
      407844 399849 395857 390863 388867 387875 386884 385889
      385895 388902 391904 395906 397910 399917 396922 392922
      381923 375924 370928 365935 364943 362948 363954 365968
      367972 370975 376982 382979 395965 401971 405977 410988
      412994 416997 419995 421992 424988 429985 435980 437974
      438967 437961 436954 439943 442934 445920 444911 444903
      445899 447887 448882 450878 453876 454875
 0.25 358984 357983 354983 351983 348984 347986 346989 346990
      349991 352990 355989 356988 357986 358984
 0.25 334001 335996 332992 326991 318993 313995 307997 302001
      299004 298008 299011 303013 309014 317013 322011 328008
      333003 334001
 0.25 286820 284819 284818 281817 279817 278816 275816 273816
      272815 268814 268818 270818 272819 273819 276820 277821
      279822 282822 285821 286820
 0.50 532107 534102 534097 534092 532087 530082 527077 523072
      520069 517072 516077 517082 518087 520094 523099 526105
      528108 532107
 0.50 441876 441870 439863 437860 435853 434847 431844 427843
      422844 413849 406855 401859 394867 392874 389885 388888
      390894 392896 397896 400897 402902 405915 409923 411926
      415928 419936 421940 425941 427941 432939 434935 438926
      439920 437914 436906 437902 441880 441876
 0.50 434972 434968 433967 431964 430964 430965 428969 426973
      428977 429978 432978 433976 434972 434972
 0.50 388939 388935 386932 385931 382930 379931 377932 375934
      374936 373938 372941 371942 370946 371950 371953 373957
      374959 377958 379955 380955 381951 382950 384947 384946
      387943 387942 388939
 0.50 330998 330997 327996 324997 321997 319998 316999 313000
      310001 308002 306004 305006 305007 305008 308009 311010
      314009 317008 319008 322007 324005 325005 327003 329002
      330999 330998
 1.00 434886 434878 433875 431871 428870 428876 427883 425888
      420891 419895 419903 419904 420907 423908 426905 428901
      430896 433891 434886



24HR QP VT 17/12Z
 0.01 557073 556061 553054 550048 549042 541016 539008 537003
      535984 533973 531958 529946 528941 523921 522916 520906
      517889 512865 507847 502828 500822 498820 496815 494806
      494800 496797 498793 500786 502761 504751 504743 505738
      506725 503714 500709 495713 494718 490715 490707 484711
      483715 481717 475722 471725 468730 465730 466726 468719
      466705 468696 469689 472684 473677 474670 473664 473651
      473646 472639 469629 467629 463633 455631 449626 443625
      440626 429636 423642 420648 417654 414660 405666 401667
      395671 392672 385676 376679 370683 368687 366693 367697
      367702 369709 373720 374726 374730 374734 373738 375759
      377767 378774 376779 376785 364807 352822 348826 346831
      346842 345887 342891 338892 330890 325886 322884 318884
      310881 302879 298878 292880 288888 287894 287899 289904
      294909 302915 311918 319921 323922 326925 329928 332932
      332938 331942 331948 331954 330961 329983 319979 313984
      311987 311990 313993 317998 320003 324006 329008 332017
      337024 348030 351031 357032 363037 370040 374044 372048
      366049 363051 359052 357056 358059 362060 384057 403050
      406045 410044 419051 425051 430049 438042 444040 444035
      443032 443028 444024 443017 442013 440007 437003 434000
      430998 424992 411985 402979 394971 391967 395964 402957
      406954 408949 415937 418928 420912 423907 424900 425889
      427865 427859 428856 433850 437846 442845 451845 456845
      458847 459852 457866 455871 453875 451887 454905 455914
      457922 463921 468924 471925 473930 476937 478942 478949
      478958 477963 478980 478988 478996 481011 483020 485033
      486041 487047 488058 489063 491072 493079 494086 496092
      499095 505106 508110 513113 515115 522116 530118 533119
      535117 543108 551093 553088 554079 557073
 0.01 525257 530234 534225 536211 533202 530194 528189 527183
      522173 517167 514160 510151 505141 492133 485129 480128
      477127 475124 469123 466123 466127 468132 471133 476134
      480138 489148 494171 495181 494187 493189 492193 490196
      487198 481204 474205 468208 465211 463214 464217 467217
      476217 481216 485213 489214 491217 491225 490232 490238
      491242 491247 491253 492259 496262 497269 504282 506285
      509286 512284 518278
 0.01 480240 481235 481231 480228 478230 477230 473231 471231
      468231 467231 464234 464235 467236 468235 470233 473234
      473237 475241 478242 480240
 0.01 341865 340862 338859 332856 330853 328848 324850 321856
      316861 313863 313867 316874 323876 330876 335879 338877
      339873 341865 341865
 0.01 292821 289817 286813 281811 276809 266807 258799 255797
      252797 249798 247802 249809 251815 255819 263826 267828
      272829 282830 286831 290827 292821
 0.25 467671 466663 463659 459661 456666 454674 453681 454687
      455692 454696 450707 436714 433724 429732 429736 430739
      432744 433751 433756 437756 441754 446748 450747 454744
      459735 461726 461714 462704 463694 465684 467680 467674
      467671
 0.25 517268 517258 518253 519244 519234 517229 513226 510229
      506230 505234 505239 506244 506253 502257 503262 505267
      509274 511275 515272 517268
 0.25 512927 513918 511910 506896 501885 499880 499876 499866
      498858 496849 493840 487833 483829 480828 475830 475835
      475843 477852 478861 479868 479870 475866 473869 471874
      470881 470886 472890 475894 475898 477911 481923 485930
      489934 493942 497958 501962 503964 507961 510956 511943
      512927
 0.25 518044 519040 518035 516026 514021 510017 507014 505015
      501017 500022 500031 501040 503045 505052 508056 512054
      515049 518044
 0.25 452735 451731 449731 448733 448737 448738 448742 450744
      451740 451738 452735
 0.25 428670 427667 424667 418669 414673 412678 411692 414703
      415708 413713 414725 416732 418734 419730 419719 419713
      421708 424698 425686 427675 428670
 0.25 438784 425745 421741 419741 416744 413753 408771 406776
      405780 403781 398782 393784 381795 376803 373812 371821
      370832 370843 367852 359863 355867 353871 352881 351891
      349901 346906 344907 342912 342914 344924 346932 347936
      346940 342947 338953 337959 339966 342976 343980 341983
      339992 338997 339002 342007 347009 352009 359012 362014
      364019 366026 371021 382010 388013 391016 396017 399020
      406026 412030 418033 423032 426029 427024 426017 421009
      419005 416002 407997 399995 395994 391990 379980 376973
      374963 375958 378953 379948 380942 383936 387924 390922
      392923 398921 402917 403913 405906 407902 408895 409884
      407870 405862 401855 398852 397845 398836 399827 402821
      408818 410818 413821 416824 420824 424825 427826 432822
      434818 436810 436802 438784
 0.25 320903 320902 317900 316899 313898 310899 308902 308906
      309906 312905 314905 317905 320903 320903
 0.25 277821 276820 273819 269817 266815 263815 262817 264818
      265819 267820 269820 271821 273822 274823 277823 277821
 0.50 495858 495854 493850 491846 489843 488843 485839 482837
      481836 481837 482839 483841 484845 486848 487849 489852
      491855 492857 493859 495859 495858
 0.50 491883 491879 491874 490870 488866 487862 486867 486871
      486875 486876 486880 487885 488887 491887 491883
 0.50 485908 486903 485899 484898 481897 481901 481905 482909
      483910 485908 485908
 0.50 423766 422761 420760 418761 416771 414778 411786 410794
      411799 414805 418811 423817 425819 429820 431813 431804
      431799 430792 427788 425782 423771 423766
 0.50 397793 393791 388794 382800 378806 376813 376822 375838
      374845 370853 363865 362870 366869 368867 374861 379855
      386844 389837 390832 395831 397815 397807 397797 397793
 0.50 406896 405884 403873 400864 398862 395861 393862 389863
      386868 384875 384884 388890 390900 391912 393916 398917
      401909 404902 406896
 0.50 406015 407011 407007 405004 404003 401002 399003 397004
      397008 398012 399014 402015 405015 406015
 0.50 372884 368885 366886 363883 361880 357878 355878 356885
      355891 355896 358899 360903 362899 363894 366889 366886
      368885 372884
 0.50 382995 380988 374982 371979 367971 362968 360964 360959
      358954 356950 355949 350947 345951 342959 344966 347972
      349977 349981 346986 342992 342998 344002 349004 356006
      364008 370011 374009 373005 372999 379999 382995
 0.50 369921 368917 365911 362908 358906 355907 352909 349912
      349919 351926 353929 356935 360938 363940 366941 369939
      370936 369932 369925 369921

$$