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000
FNUS73 KDLH 221313
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for County Road 45...USFS
National Weather Service Duluth MN
813 AM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 CDT on April 22.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

Main story today is continued dry conditions ahead of a clipper
system that will provide cloud cover and some recovery of RH later
this afternoon. Chances for rain at the site is low, but could
see some sprinkles early this afternoon. Little to no accumulation
is expected. Winds will remain out of the southwest today, with
winds at 10-15 mph and gusts up to 20 mph. Some cooler air could
flow onshore from Lake Winnibigoshish to the southwest, which
could temper high temperatures by a couple degrees.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL increasing to 4300 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon, then decreasing to 2200 ft AGL
                    late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 22 mph shifting to the west
                    around 15 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair to good (22100-36000 knot-ft) increasing
                    to good (43700-55400 knot-ft) early in the
                    afternoon, then increasing to excellent (75600
                    knot-ft) late in the afternoon decreasing to
                    fair (28400 knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10  10  10  10  20  20  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............47  52  56  58  59  60  59  60  59
RH..............45  39  34  34  34  35  37  36  39
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..7   9   10  10  10  10  10  9   8
20 FT wind gust.11  14  16  16  16  16  15  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 1.7 2.0 2.4 3.0 3.3 4.0 4.3 2.2
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
Transp wind spd.20  20  21  21  21  20  22  21  15
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/100022  30  36  44  55  55  76  77  28

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers late in the evening. Slight chance
                    of rain showers overnight, then chance of rain
                    showers after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 38.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (4200-20900 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....              S CHC         S CHC  CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     20     10     20     30
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............57     53     48     46     44     42
RH..............42     48     58     60     65     73
20 ft wind......SW 6   W 5    W 5    W 4    W 4    W 5
20 ft wind gust.12     9      9      9      9      9
Mix hgt (ft)....2100   500    500    500    500    600
Transport wind..W 12   W 9    W 12   W 10   W 10   W 10
Haines index....5      5      5      5      4      4
SDspl kt-ft/100021     4      5      5      4      6

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 50.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    north 8 to 12 mph late in the morning.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL increasing to 4000 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 16 mph shifting to the north 16
                    to 21 mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (5300-23200 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good (55400 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY     MCLDY     MCLDY     MCLDY
Weather cov.....S CHC     S CHC     S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20        20        20        0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............41        43        46        48
RH..............79        79        60        44
20 FT wind......NW 5G9    N 8G14    N 11G18   N 10G16
Mix hgt (ft)....600       1500      2300      3600
Transport wind..NW 10     N 15      N 20      N 18
Haines index....4         3         3         3
SDspl kt-ft/10005         19        41        58

$$
Forecaster...Krystal
Requested by...Angela Porter
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2411709.0/DLH
.DELDT 04/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mnmncc_operations@firenet.gov