Public Information Statement
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-021000-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
601 AM EDT FRI MAY 1 2015

...THIS IS SEVERE WEATHER AWARENESS WEEK...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PARTNERSHIP WITH SEVERAL AGENCIES
INCLUDING THE NY STATE DISASTER PREPAREDNESS COMMISSION IS PROMOTING
SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY FOR ALL PEOPLE.

THIS STATEMENT COVERS FLASH FLOODS.

SINCE 1996...FLASH FLOODS HAVE ACCOUNTED FOR OVER 10 DEATHS AND MORE
THAN 85 MILLION DOLLARS IN PROPERTY DAMAGE ACROSS THE TRI STATE AREA.

FLASH FLOODS CAN OCCUR ANYWHERE FROM WITHIN A FEW MINUTES TO A FEW
HOURS OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. THE TWO KEY ELEMENTS CONTRIBUTING TO
FLASH FLOODING ARE RAINFALL INTENSITY AND DURATION.

SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS MOVING OVER THE SAME AREA CAN PRODUCE
RAINFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL
HOURS. THESE STORMS...WHICH CLIMATOLOGICALLY OCCUR FROM SPRING
THROUGH FALL...CAN PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING OF STREETS...POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS...SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS.

IF YOU ENCOUNTER WATER FLOWING ACROSS A ROADWAY...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
CROSS IT. TURN AROUND...DO NOT DROWN. IT TAKES ONLY 6 INCHES OF
RUNNING WATER TO KNOCK DOWN AN ADULT...AND JUST 12 INCHES OF RUNNING
WATER TO CARRY AWAY A SMALL CAR. 2 FEET OF RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY
AWAY MOST VEHICLES. IT IS NEVER SAFE TO DRIVE OR WALK INTO FLOOD
WATERS.

WHEN THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BEYOND 48 HOURS...OUR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE ON LONG ISLAND NY WILL PROVIDE THIS
INFORMATION IN OUR HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK TEXT PRODUCT.

FLOOD WATCHES ARE ISSUED BY OUR NWS OFFICE WHEN THERE IS A POTENTIAL
FOR ANY TYPE OF FLOODING...EXCEPT TIDAL FLOODING...WITHIN 48 HOURS.

FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED WHEN ANY TYPE OF FLOODING...
EXCEPT TIDAL FLOODING...WILL CREATE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE AND
PROPERTY WITHIN 6 HOURS. LAST YEAR...WE CORRECTLY FORECAST 95
PERCENT OF 93 FLASH FLOOD EVENTS WITH AN AVERAGE LEAD TIME OF 68
MINUTES. OUR OFFICE USES A COMBINATION OF WEATHER RADAR...RAIN GAGES
AND VOLUNTEER SKYWARN SPOTTER OBSERVATIONS TO ISSUE WARNINGS.

THESE OUTLOOKS...WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED FOR PEOPLE
LIVING IN...11 COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST NY COVERING THE LOWER HUDSON
VALLEY...NEW YORK CITY AND LONG ISLAND...5 COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST NEW
JERSEY AND 4 COUNTIES IN SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT.

THE FINAL STATEMENT WILL COVER A REVIEW OF TOPICS PRESENTED DURING
THIS WEEK.

$$



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