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000
FXUS64 KOUN 152328
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
620 PM CDT WED MAY 15 2013

.AVIATION... WIDESPREAD SHOWERS/TSTMS THIS EVENING BENEATH UPPER LOW
DRIFTING NEWD. MOST WIDESPREAD PRECIP WILL EXTEND THROUGH CENTRAL OK
INTO N TX AND WILL LEAVE WESTERN SITES DRY. MORE WIDESPREAD MVFR TO
IFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT. GRADUAL
IMPROVEMENT EXPECTED DURING THE DAY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 238 PM CDT WED MAY 15 2013/

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT WITH
SHOWERS/STORMS DEVELOPING AND ROTATING AROUND THE LOW. SOME SEVERE
STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTN/EVENING. SHOWERS/STORMS WILL
REMAIN POSSIBLE IN EASTERN PARTS OF OF THE FA THURSDAY. DESPITE THE
UPPER SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE REGION THERE WILL BE NO CHANGE IN
AIRMASS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS SO WARM/HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND.

MODELS SHOW AN UPPER TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE ROCKIES INTO THE
PLAINS THIS WEEKEND... WITH A DRYLINE SETTING UP JUST WEST OR IN THE
FA. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL ALSO MOVE INTO AND REMAIN IN THE FA
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND EAST OF
THE DRYLINE OVER THE WEEKEND AND THEN NEAR THE FRONT AND DRYLINE
EARLY NEXT WEEK. SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. RAIN CHANCES WILL END BY WEDNESDAY AS THE
UPPER LOW AND FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES OUT OF THE AREA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  64  81  65  84 /  60  10  10  10
HOBART OK         62  85  65  94 /  30  10  10  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  65  86  67  95 /  50  10  10  10
GAGE OK           58  86  63  93 /  10  10  10  10
PONCA CITY OK     62  80  64  81 /  30  10  10  10
DURANT OK         62  78  67  82 /  70  40  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

03/25