000
FXUS64 KOUN 161147
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
647 AM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013

.AVIATION...
16/12Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED MOST OF FORECAST PERIOD.
MVFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY OVER NORTHWEST
AND WEST-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING. CONFIDENCE ON LOCATION OF
REDEVELOPMENT TOO LOW TO MENTION IN MOST OF AFTERNOON HOURS AT
TERMINALS. HIGHER CONFIDENCE OF MCS MOVING INTO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA
THIS EVENING AND PROGRESSING SOUTHWARD INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
TOWARD AND AFTER 06Z WITH STRONG WIND GUSTS AND IFR/MVFR
RESTRICTIONS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 425 AM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013/

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW WEAK STORMS EXPECTED TO LINGER THROUGH
THE MORNING HOURS MAINLY OVER NORTHERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA.
REDEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AS CONVECTIVE INHIBITION
DECREASES AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES PROVIDING FOCUS.
HOWEVER...GREATEST CONCENTRATION OF STORMS EXPECTED LATE THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT ACROSS MAINLY NORTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
AS MCS PROGRESSES OVER REGION...WITH SEVERE WIND GUSTS A CONCERN.
THIS WILL HELP PUSH A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY TOWARD THE RED RIVER
REGION WHERE STORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE FOR LATE MONDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY. ANOTHER MCS MAY TRY TO AFFECT A LARGER PART OF THE
FORECAST AREA AGAIN TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY BEFORE STORM
CHANCES COME TO AN END WITH RISING HEIGHTS AND CAPPING.
DRIER...HOTTER...AND BREEZY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TOWARD THE END OF
THE WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  90  70  86  68 /  40  60  60  30
HOBART OK         96  71  93  68 /  20  40  30  40
WICHITA FALLS TX  96  74  94  71 /  10  30  40  50
GAGE OK           93  68  87  65 /  60  60  30  30
PONCA CITY OK     90  70  85  66 /  40  80  60  10
DURANT OK         92  73  91  71 /  20  30  40  40

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

04/99/11