000
FXUS64 KOUN 150927
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
427 AM CDT SAT JUN 15 2013

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION TODAY. MOST OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN WEAK
AND NEAR/EAST OF INTERSTATE-35 WHERE BETTER MOISTURE AND LAPSE
RATES WILL COINCIDE. LARGER AREA OF LIGHT RAIN OVER FAR NORTHWEST
OKLAHOMA EXPECTED TO SHIFT EASTWARD OVER FAR NORTHERN OKLAHOMA
EARLY THIS MORNING. WHERE LIFT FROM SOUTHWEST TEXAS UPPER LOW AND
NORTHWARD PROGRESSIVE COMPLEX OVER METROPLEX MEET WILL LIKELY BE
AREA WITH BEST CHANCE FOR MORE ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. THIS IS EXPECTED OVER SOUTH-
CENTRAL INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. NO ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS
EXPECTED ALTHOUGH TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS AND STRONG WINDS MAY OCCUR.

NEXT MAIN PERIOD FOR ORGANIZED RAIN ACTIVITY WILL BE LATE SUNDAY
THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING WITH POSSIBLE COMPLEX OF STORMS
AFFECTING MAINLY NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PARTS OF OKLAHOMA. ANOTHER
COMPLEX MAY AFFECT RED RIVER REGION LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...
WITH YET ANOTHER AFFECTING THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY. ECM APPEARS TO BE THE MOST CONSISTENT WITH THIS
SCENARIO WITH THE GFS A CLOSE SECOND. RELATIVELY COOLER TEMPS
EXPECTED DURING DAYTIME MOST AREAS THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK WITH TEMPS RISING AGAIN LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  88  72  90  70 /  40  10  30  60
HOBART OK         92  71  96  72 /  40  10  20  40
WICHITA FALLS TX  91  73  96  73 /  40  10  10  20
GAGE OK           89  69  92  69 /  30  30  30  50
PONCA CITY OK     89  71  91  71 /  30  20  40  70
DURANT OK         89  75  92  73 /  40  30  20  40

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

04/11