000
FXUS64 KOUN 120831
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
331 AM CDT WED JUN 12 2013

.DISCUSSION...
DOMINANT UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS...EXTENDING FROM OKLAHOMA WESTWARD INTO TEXAS AND NEW
MEXICO. THIS WILL SUPPRESS CLOUD COVER AND LEAD TO VERY HOT
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

TODAY WILL LIKELY BE THE HOTTEST DAY THROUGH THE NEXT WEEK...WITH
TRIPLE DIGIT TEMPERATURES FROM NORTHERN OKLAHOMA...WESTWARD TO THE
TEXAS PANHANDLE...AND SOUTHWARD INTO WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. A FEW
SPOTS WILL EVEN EXCEED 100 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON...WITH DANGEROUS
HEAT INDICES OF 105 DEGREES IN A FEW SPOTS. OUTDOOR WORK SHOULD BE
RELEGATED TO MORNING OR EVENING HOURS...AS DANGEROUS HEAT IS
EXPECTED. FOLLOW HEAT SAFETY MEASURES TO PROTECT AGAINST ILLNESS
OR INJURY.

WHILE IT WONT BE QUITE AS HOT TOMORROW THROUGH FRIDAY...WE CAN
STILL EXPECT MID TO UPPER 90S ACROSS MUCH OF OKLAHOMA...WITH LOW
100S OVER WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. GIVEN
CONTINUING DROUGHT OUT WEST...THESE AREAS WILL LIKELY BE HOTTER
DURING AFTERNOON PEAK HEATING.

A BIT OF A PATTERN CHANGE IS EXPECTED BY SATURDAY AS THE DOMINANT
UPPER RIDGE FLATTENS AND SHIFTS SOUTHEASTWARD. THIS WILL OCCUR AS
A WEAK UPPER LOW SHIFTS INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. WITH SUBSTANTIAL
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND RATHER HOT AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES...EXPECT
AT LEAST ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS BOTH SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY. CHANCES WILL BE GREATEST ACROSS NORTHERN/WESTERN
OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

BY EARLY NEXT WEEK...MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT SUGGESTING
NORTHWEST FLOW MAY DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS WOULD
FAVOR NOCTURNAL THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES AND SLIGHTLY COOLER
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES...THOUGH 90S WILL STILL BE THE RULE. THIS
FAR OUT...CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW...AND WILL STICK WITH CHANCE POPS
OR LESS FROM MONDAY ONWARD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  93  71  94  71 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK        100  72 100  72 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  98  73  99  73 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK          102  73  99  69 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK    100  71  90  70 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         94  74  96  74 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

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