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FLUS44 KOUN 151016
HWOOUN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
516 AM CDT SAT JUN 15 2013

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-151800-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
516 AM CDT SAT JUN 15 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL EXIST THROUGH THIS EVENING ACROSS THE
REGION.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDER WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING
ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND PORTIONS NORTHERN TEXAS AS A MID-LEVEL
DISTURBANCE CONTINUES TO LIFT NORTH-NORTHEAST ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON AS THE UPPER LOW ENTERS AND MOVES NORTH-NORTHEAST ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.

THROUGH THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
WILL DECREASE FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE REGION AS THE LOW SHIFTS
EASTWARD INTO THE OZARKS.

OVERALL...WITH WEAK ENVIRONMENTAL WINDS AND MODEST INSTABILITY...
THE RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL REMAIN LOW FOR TODAY.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT SUNDAY JUN 16.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...65 PERCENT
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...10 PERCENT

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE ONCE AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING. AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL
KANSAS WILL DEVELOP INTO A COMPLEX SUNDAY EVENING AND MOVE SOUTHWARD
ACROSS OKLAHOMA OVERNIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

FOR THE REMAINDER OF NEXT THE WEEK...A FAIRLY ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN
WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED BY NOON
TODAY.

$$

KURTZ