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FLUS44 KOUN 141005
HWOOUN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
505 AM CDT TUE MAY 14 2013

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-151000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
505 AM CDT TUE MAY 14 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

DISCUSSION...
AS AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM OVER THE BIG BEND REGION OF TEXAS
PROGRESSES SLOWLY NORTHWARD LATE TONIGHT AND TONIGHT...A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS MAY WORK THEIR WAY INTO WESTERN NORTH TEXAS AND
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. DUE TO LIMITED INSTABILITY AND SHEAR
OVERNIGHT...NO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT TUESDAY MAY 14.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...40 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...0 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
WITH VERY WARM TEMPERATURES...DRY AIR...AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST
WIND THIS AFTERNOON...VERY HIGH WILDFIRE DANGERS WILL EXIST
ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND ADJACENT PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. THE GREATEST CHANCES FOR STORMS WILL BE ON
WEDNESDAY...BUT DUE TO RELATIVELY WEAK SHEAR AND ONLY MODEST
INSTABILITY...ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS APPEAR UNLIKELY.

GREATER INSTABILITY EAST OF A DRYLINE...ALONG WITH INCREASING
WINDS ALOFT...WILL SUPPORT SEVERE STORMS FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
STORM INITIATION APPEARS MOST LIKELY ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHERN
OKLAHOMA EACH DAY. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE
THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM ANY SEVERE STORMS.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED BY
NOON TODAY.

$$

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