Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook) Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
000
FNUS53 KDTX 180755
FWFDTX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
353 AM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013
.DISCUSSION...
A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND RESULTING IN
MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN IN THE MID TO UPPER 70`S WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES IN THE 30`S
THROUGH SATURDAY. WINDS WILL TURN TO THE SOUTH ON SUNDAY ALLOWING
MOISTURE TO RETURN TO THE AREA WHICH WILL INCREASE MINIMUM RH VALUES
TO 45 TO 55 PERCENT RANGE. ON MONDAY...A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WILL BEGIN INFLUENCING CONDITIONS...BRINGING INCREASING CHANCES OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
MIZ047-048-053-060-061-182100-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
353 AM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 PM...THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 8 AM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-39 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5530-6030 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH
BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (970).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......380-580 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-49 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8760-9260 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1290).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ049-054-055-062-182100-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
353 AM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 PM...THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 8 AM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-45 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2730-3230 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15
MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (540).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-52 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7390-7890 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1330).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-182100-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
353 AM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 AM...THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-39 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5940-6440 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (970).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......120-320 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH
LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-51 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6240-6740 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1240).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
$$
DRK