Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD
070 FNUS73 KABR 051241 FWSABR Spot Forecast for Robin Hood Central...FWS National Weather Service Aberdeen SD 741 AM CDT Sun May 5 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 05. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION...High pressure will exit to the east this morning leaving the region with increasing southeast to south winds. The burn site remains to the east of the tightest pressure gradient today, so winds should max out with gusts around 20 mph late this afternoon. Winds will continue to increase on Monday with gusts to 40 mph by mid afternoon as a strong area of low pressure is set to bring showers and strong to severe thunderstorms by late afternoon Monday. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (0-10 percent). CWR.................0 percent. Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 69. Min humidity........35 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 14 mph. Mixing height.......1600-5800 ft agl. Transport winds.....South 9 to 17 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12400 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (85200 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 to 4 or (very low) to (low). TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........10 7 3 2 2 2 2 2 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............57 60 62 64 65 67 68 68 RH..............58 52 47 43 41 37 36 35 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S SE 20 FT wind spd..5 7 10 12 12 13 13 14 20 FT wind gust.9 10 13 15 16 16 17 18 Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 3.5 4.8 5.3 5.5 5.8 5.7 5.7 Smoke Dispersal.PR PR FR GD GD GD GD GD .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). CWR.................0 percent. Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Min temperature.....Around 49. Max humidity........80 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 13 to 16 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph. Mixing height.......400-5300 ft agl. Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (84000 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (6400 knot-ft) late in the night. Haines Index........3 to 4 or (very low) to (low). TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........2 2 3 4 4 16 26 32 27 28 20 21 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............67 66 63 59 56 54 53 53 51 51 51 51 RH..............37 38 45 54 61 66 69 71 77 77 77 77 20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT wind spd..15 15 13 13 13 14 14 14 14 15 15 16 20 FT wind gust.18 20 21 22 23 24 24 25 26 28 29 30 Mix hgt (kft)...5.3 3.9 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 Smoke Dispersal.GD GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of rain showers early in the afternoon. Chance of rain showers late in the afternoon. Slight chance of thunderstorms late in the afternoon. CWR.................1 percent increasing to 23 percent in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. LAL.................1 until 1600, then 2. Max temperature.....Around 70. Min humidity........60 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Windy. Southeast winds 16 to 25 mph with gusts to around 36 mph increasing to 28 to 30 mph with gusts to around 41 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......600-4600 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southeast 21 to 29 mph increasing to 40 to 43 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (11300 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (97500 knot-ft) in the afternoon increasing to very good (137300 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (175400 knot-ft) in the afternoon late in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 to 4 or (very low) to (low). TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........29 45 55 60 65 66 69 74 76 77 78 81 Weather cov..... SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH SCH Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 30 30 30 30 Temp............50 51 52 55 58 61 64 66 67 68 69 68 RH..............80 79 80 74 69 65 63 62 61 60 61 63 20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT wind spd..16 20 20 21 24 25 25 28 28 29 30 29 20 FT wind gust.31 33 35 33 35 35 36 37 38 40 41 41 Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.8 1.2 1.6 1.8 2.5 3.0 3.2 4.1 4.6 4.6 4.0 Smoke Dispersal.PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD VGD EXL EXL VGD $$ Forecaster...Wise Requested by...Millette Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2413182.0/ABR .DELDT 05/05/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL phil_millette@fws.gov