997
FNUS73 KDLH 141341
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Otter Creek Rx...Fond du Lac Forestry
National Weather Service Duluth MN
841 AM CDT Tue May 14 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on May 14.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

Today will be a sunny dry day with a high temperature in the high
50s and minimum RH around 30 to 35 percent. A lake breeze off Lake
Superior may move inland today, bringing slightly stronger
easterly winds and cooler temperatures this afternoon. Mixing
should be good, with fair to good smoke dispersal all day. No
precipitation is expected. No significant differences are
expected meteorologically between this burn location and the
Wicks Rx.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 9 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair to good (22400-38700 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............48  50  52  54  56  56  57  56  55
RH..............57  54  52  46  42  38  35  35  35
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..9   10  10  10  10  10  10  11  10
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  16  16  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 1.9 2.4 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.0 2.7 2.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.16  16  16  16  16  15  15  15  16
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100022  27  34  37  39  39  39  36  34

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 38.
Max humidity........67 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (10800-26900 knot-ft) decreasing
                    to poor (4200 knot-ft) in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............53     48     42     39     38     38
RH..............36     40     53     59     62     64
20 ft wind......E 10   E 9    E 7    E 6    E 6    E 6
20 ft wind gust.18     15     14     12     12     11
Mix hgt (ft)....1900   1100   500    500    500    500
Transport wind..E 16   E 15   E 13   E 12   E 12   E 10
Haines index....4      4      4      4      4      4
SDspl kt-ft/100027     14     5      5      5      4

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (4300-19700 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....                            S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      10     10     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............38     44     52     56     59     57
RH..............67     60     53     47     45     43
20 ft wind......E 6    E 7    E 7    E 8    E 8    E 10
20 ft wind gust.12     12     12     12     13     15
Mix hgt (ft)....400    800    1300   1700   1700   1400
Transport wind..E 12   E 14   E 12   E 12   E 14   E 15
Haines index....4      3      3      3      4      4
SDspl kt-ft/10004      10     13     16     19     18

$$
Forecaster...Ketzel
Requested by...Paul Priestley
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414134.0/DLH
.DELDT 05/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL paulpriestley@fdlrez.com