845
FNUS73 KDTX 010834
FWSDTX

Spot Forecast for Meadow Rx...MIDNR
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
434 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 EDT on May 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Breezy and warm today with sustained southwest winds
increasing to near 20 mph this afternoon. Gusts could approach 35
mph at times, mainly as a cold front crosses through with limited
rain development. Minimum RHs drop into into the mid 30s today
suggesting some elevated fire concerns, especially for areas that
missed out on heavier rainfall over the past few days.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of
                    sprinkles early in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds 11 to 14 mph...becoming west
                    around 13 mph late in the afternoon. Gusts up
                    to 28 mph.
Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 26 to 29 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 6 OR low to high potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal....Excellent (MAX...1232).

TIME (EDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........60  50  49  36  28  15
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW
TEMP............70  73  74  75  75  75
RH..............56  52  48  43  38  36
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW  SW  W   W   W   W
EYE LVL WND SPD.11  13  14  14  14  13
EYE LVL WND GST.20  21  21  21  22  21
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.1 4.2 5.3 5.7 5.1 4.8
HAINES INDEX....4   4   6   6   6   6
SMOKE DISPER....746 10161272141712831110

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 48.
Max humidity........78 percent.
Eye level winds.....West winds 5 to 12 mph...becoming northwest
                    around 4 mph after 3 am.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 17 to 25 mph...decreasing to 10 to 15 mph
                    in the late evening and overnight,
                    then becoming north early in the morning.
Haines Index........4 to 6 OR low to high potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal....Poor (MIN...29).

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........14     18     19     24     31     30
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............73     68     61     56     53     51
RH..............36     41     52     63     69     73
EYE LVL WND DIR.W      W      W      W      W      NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.12     10     6      5      5      4
EYE LVL WND GST.19     17     14     12     10     8
MIX HGT (KFT)...4200   700    600    500    400    400
HAINES INDEX....6      5      5      5      4      4
SMOKE DISPER....926    103    68     52     43     36

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Eye level winds.....North winds up to 5 mph...becoming southeast 5
                    to 6 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 9 mph...becoming northeast around 6
                    mph late in the morning, then becoming south
                    7 to 8 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal....Fair (MAX...167).

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........33        29        28        38
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............50        55        66        70
RH..............77        68        51        44
EYE LEVEL WIND..NW 4      N 5       E 4       SE 5
EYE LEVEL WIND..8         7         7         8
MIX HGT (FT)....400       1000      2300      3000
HAINES INDEX....4         4         4         4
SMOKE DISPER....34        62        140       183

$$
Forecaster...Arnold
Requested by...Jeff Vasher
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412824.0/DTX
.DELDT 05/01/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL vasherj@michigan.gov