752
FXUS62 KFFC 091832
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
232 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Friday)
Issued at 216 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

A very active today across the area with a the overnight MCS
followed by another MCS that dove SE across AL this morning.
Shower and tstm activity continues across the S half of the County
Warning Area (CWA), with the strongest storms (some severe) across
the extreme S. Tornado Watch number 216 was extended across the S
until 3 PM. Tornado Watch number 217 continues S of that area
until 5 PM. Activity is expected to gradually sag farther S
through the remainder of the afternoon and eventually weaken S of
the CWA.

The respite in weather will be short-lived, as a quick-moving MCS
is forecast to sweep across the S portion of the area late tonight
and Fri morning. High resolution models have been very consistent
regarding strength and timing of this feature. However, the fly in
the ointment is the lingering cool pool N of today`s line of
convection. There will likely be some recovery in instability
across the area (particularly where storms ended the earliest).
However, this feature will be moving across late at night and
early in the morning. The strongest thunderstorms are expected to
be farther to the S, with severe storms possible (mainly S of
Macon). The greatest threat will be damaging winds with this
system, but there will be a lesser threat of hail and isolated
tornadoes. The forecast will likely be further honed later this
evening as the impact of earlier convection becomes more clear.

SEC

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday morning through next Wednesday)
Issued at 216 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

A brief period of dry and slightly cooler weather is expected
this weekend as we return to northwest flow aloft. Rain chances
look to return to the region next week as another low pressure
system developing in the Southern Plains moves eastward. QPF
values have been adjust slightly based on the latest guidance.
Otherwise, little change was made to the existing packages.

07/SEC

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 207 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

Earlier thunderstorm activity has played havoc with wind directions,
but winds should return to more solidly SW in the Atlanta metro area
and AHN within the next hour or two. Thunderstorm activity has
mostly cleared the Atlanta metro area and AHN. Farther to the S,
thunderstorms are still ongoing at CSG and near and S of MCN.
Thunderstorm activity is expected to continue slowly sinking S for
the remainder of the afternoon. Cigs will continue to improve across
the N terminals through the afternoon, with improving conditions
across the S by evening. However, another area of showers and
thunderstorms is forecast to sweep rapidly across the area late
tonight and Fri morning. Best chances of thunderstorms (as well as
the strongest storms) are expected to be across S GA, but have a
brief period of gusty winds and cig/vsby reductions associated with
this activity at all terminals.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium regarding exact timing and intensity of thunderstorms late
tonight and Fri morning, high for other elements.

SEC

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          65  83  52  77 /  10  30   0   0
Atlanta         66  82  54  76 /  40  30   0   0
Blairsville     58  74  46  69 /  10  20   0  10
Cartersville    62  80  49  76 /  30  20   0   0
Columbus        67  85  57  80 /  70  60   0   0
Gainesville     65  80  53  75 /  10  30   0   0
Macon           67  83  56  79 /  40  60   0   0
Rome            63  80  51  76 /  30  20   0   0
Peachtree City  65  83  52  78 /  50  40   0   0
Vidalia         69  83  59  80 /  40  90   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None. &&

$$

SHORT TERM...SEC
LONG TERM....SEC
AVIATION...SEC