Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
182 FNUS52 KILM 071907 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 307 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024 .DISCUSSION... The area will remain between an inland trough and Atlantic high pressure into Thursday with unseasonably warm and humid conditions expected. Mostly limited showers and storms expected through Wednesday until a cold front approaches Thursday and moves through Friday bringing a better chance of rain and even some stronger storms. High pressure will then slowly return into early next week bringing drier and cooler conditions. Fog potential for tonight is Very Low. NCZ105>110-081115- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 307 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024 Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 20 30 40 Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 2 3 3 3 Min/Max Temp 68 94 69 91 Max/Min RH (%) 95 45 93 51 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 G18 SW 7 SW 7 G19 SW 8 G20 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 7 G17 SW 10 G20 SW 5 SW 13 G24 Precip Amount 0.00 0.04 0.06 0.04 Precip Duration 1 2 2 Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 78/0900 1900 74/0800 Dispersion Fair Fair Haines Index 4 4 4 4 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 6300 5400 Transport Wind (mph) W 20 SW 30 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 126000 162000 ADI Early 42 Gen Good 70 Good 48 Gen Good 94 Good ADI Late 8 Poor 104 Very Good9 Poor 113 Very Good Max LVORI Early 5 6 4 5 Max LVORI Late 5 1 5 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability E B D C Remarks...Brotak Profile Present. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 81 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 84 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 87 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 41 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 92 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 54 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ096-099-081115- Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 307 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024 Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 20 30 50 Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 1 3 3 3 Min/Max Temp 69 92 70 91 Max/Min RH (%) 95 45 94 51 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 SW 7 S 5 SW 8 G20 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 6 SW 9 G17 SW 4 SW 13 G24 Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.07 0.03 Precip Duration 1 2 2 Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 77/0900 1900 73/0800 Dispersion Fair Fair Haines Index 4 4 4 4 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 6000 5300 Transport Wind (mph) SW 20 W 32 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 120000 169600 ADI Early 60 Gen Good 67 Good 61 Good 96 Good ADI Late 7 Poor 116 Very Good10 Poor 122 Very Good Max LVORI Early 5 6 5 5 Max LVORI Late 5 1 5 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability E B E C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 80 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 86 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 38 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ087-081115- Robeson- Including the city of Lumberton 307 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024 Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 30 30 50 Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 1 3 3 3 Min/Max Temp 69 92 71 91 Max/Min RH (%) 91 45 92 51 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 SW 8 SW 7 SW 10 G22 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 7 SW 11 G19 SW 6 SW 16 G27 Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.07 0.04 Precip Duration 1 2 4 Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 77/0900 1900 73/0800 Dispersion Fair Fair Haines Index 4 4 4 4 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 6000 5000 Transport Wind (mph) SW 21 SW 33 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 126000 165000 ADI Early 56 Gen Good 57 Gen Good 57 Gen Good 87 Good ADI Late 11 Poor 91 Good 14 Gen Poor 118 Very Good Max LVORI Early 4 5 4 5 Max LVORI Late 5 1 5 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability D B E C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 77 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 84 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 83 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 37 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-081115- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 307 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024 Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20 30 Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms LAL 2 2 2 3 Min/Max Temp 69 93 71 90 Max/Min RH (%) 95 43 92 50 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 G17 SW 6 SW 7 G19 SW 8 G20 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 6 SW 10 G20 SW 5 SW 12 G23 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 Precip Duration 1 2 Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 77/0900 1900 74/0800 Dispersion Fair Fair Haines Index 4 4 4 4 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 6400 5900 Transport Wind (mph) SW 20 W 31 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 128000 182900 ADI Early 33 Fair 64 Good 54 Gen Good 98 Good ADI Late 7 Poor 110 Very Good9 Poor 128 Very Good Max LVORI Early 5 6 4 5 Max LVORI Late 5 1 5 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability E B E C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 80 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 84 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 36 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 83 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 43 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ032-033-039-081115- Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 307 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024 Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20 40 Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms LAL 1 2 2 3 Min/Max Temp 68 92 70 90 Max/Min RH (%) 93 43 92 51 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 SW 7 SW 5 SW 9 G21 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 6 SW 9 G17 SW 5 SW 13 G24 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 Precip Duration 1 2 Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 77/0900 1900 74/0800 Dispersion Fair Fair Haines Index 4 4 4 4 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 6100 5200 Transport Wind (mph) SW 21 SW 33 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 128100 171600 ADI Early 59 Gen Good 62 Good 100 Good 96 Good ADI Late 7 Poor 111 Very Good11 Poor 134 Very Good Max LVORI Early 4 6 4 5 Max LVORI Late 6 1 5 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability E B E C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 78 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 86 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 35 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 40 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-081115- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon 307 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024 Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 20 30 50 Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 1 3 3 3 Min/Max Temp 69 93 70 90 Max/Min RH (%) 94 45 94 55 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 SW 7 SW 6 SW 10 G21 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 6 SW 10 G18 SW 5 SW 14 G24 Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.03 Precip Duration 1 2 4 Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 77/0900 1900 73/0800 Dispersion Fair Fair Haines Index 4 4 4 4 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 6400 5100 Transport Wind (mph) SW 21 SW 33 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 134400 168300 ADI Early 55 Gen Good 53 Gen Good 78 Good 92 Good ADI Late 10 Poor 93 Good 12 Poor 121 Very Good Max LVORI Early 4 5 4 5 Max LVORI Late 5 1 5 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability E B E C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 79 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 84 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 94 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ Forecaster...Bright