Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
320 FNUS52 KILM 081909 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 309 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024 .DISCUSSION... Unseasonably warm weather continues through tomorrow. Several rounds of rain and thunderstorms expected late this afternoon through early Friday, with chance for severe weather late today and again Thursday. High pressure with near normal temps and lower daytime RH will dominate this weekend into early next week. Fog potential for tonight is None. NCZ105>110-091115- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 309 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024 Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 30 30 50 60 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 2 Min/Max Temp 69 90 66 84 Max/Min RH (%) 92 51 99 51 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 G19 SW 7 G21 SW 8 G23 W 6 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 SW 12 G24 SW 6 W 9 G17 Precip Amount 0.16 0.14 0.10 0.16 Precip Duration 1 1 2 4 Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 74/0800 1900 71/0600 Dispersion Fair Fair Haines Index 4 4 4 4 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5100 4500 Transport Wind (mph) SW 26 W 22 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 132600 99000 ADI Early 41 Gen Good 69 Good 52 Gen Good 69 Good ADI Late 8 Poor 105 Very Good9 Poor 70 Good Max LVORI Early 4 5 5 5 Max LVORI Late 5 1 6 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain Turner Stability D B D B Remarks...Brotak Profile Present. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 77 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 77 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 77 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 43 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 85 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph. $$ NCZ096-099-091115- Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 309 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024 Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 40 40 40 60 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Showers LAL 3 3 3 1 Min/Max Temp 69 89 67 83 Max/Min RH (%) 93 54 100 48 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 4 SW 7 G21 SW 7 G19 W 6 Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 11 G23 SW 5 W 10 G18 Precip Amount 0.20 0.15 0.12 0.16 Precip Duration 2 2 2 4 Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing 8 AM Precip End Continuing Continuing 2 AM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 72/0600 2000 70/0600 Dispersion Poor Fair Haines Index 4 4 4 4 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4800 4500 Transport Wind (mph) W 28 W 23 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 134400 103500 ADI Early 67 Good 75 Good 56 Gen Good 51 Gen Good ADI Late 9 Poor 111 Very Good8 Poor 72 Good Max LVORI Early 4 5 5 6 Max LVORI Late 5 1 6 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability E B E B Remarks...Brotak Profile Present. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 77 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 77 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 34 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 78 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 90 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. $$ NCZ087-091115- Robeson- Including the city of Lumberton 309 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024 Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 40 40 40 60 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Showers LAL 3 3 3 1 Min/Max Temp 69 88 68 82 Max/Min RH (%) 93 56 98 48 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 SW 9 G23 SW 10 G22 W 7 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 SW 14 G25 SW 6 W 11 G19 Precip Amount 0.21 0.16 0.07 0.16 Precip Duration 2 2 2 4 Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing 8 AM Precip End Continuing Continuing 2 AM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 72/0600 2000 70/0600 Dispersion Fair Fair Haines Index 4 4 4 4 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 3600 Transport Wind (mph) SW 28 NW 23 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 117600 82800 ADI Early 57 Gen Good 71 Good 50 Gen Good 44 Gen Good ADI Late 11 Poor 78 Good 11 Poor 57 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 4 5 5 6 Max LVORI Late 5 1 6 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability D C D C Remarks...Brotak Profile Present. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 75 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 77 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 33 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 76 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 90 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. South winds around 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-091115- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 309 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024 Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 20 30 40 60 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 3 Min/Max Temp 70 89 68 85 Max/Min RH (%) 91 55 99 53 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 G18 SW 7 G20 SW 8 G21 W 6 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 SW 11 G23 SW 5 W 9 G17 Precip Amount 0.05 0.10 0.10 0.15 Precip Duration 1 1 2 4 Precip Begin 7 PM 10 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End 1 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 74/0800 2000 71/0600 Dispersion Fair Fair Haines Index 4 4 4 4 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 5200 Transport Wind (mph) W 28 W 22 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 128800 114400 ADI Early 46 Gen Good 79 Good 49 Gen Good 42 Gen Good ADI Late 9 Poor 107 Very Good9 Poor 87 Good Max LVORI Early 4 5 5 6 Max LVORI Late 5 1 6 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability E B E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 74 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 78 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 38 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 75 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 46 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. $$ SCZ032-033-039-091115- Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 309 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024 Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 20 40 40 60 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 2 Min/Max Temp 69 88 66 83 Max/Min RH (%) 92 58 99 50 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 4 SW 7 G21 SW 8 G21 W 6 Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 4 SW 12 G23 SW 5 W 9 G18 Precip Amount 0.08 0.09 0.07 0.14 Precip Duration 1 1 2 4 Precip Begin 7 PM Continuing Continuing 8 AM Precip End Continuing Continuing 2 AM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 72/0600 2000 70/0600 Dispersion Fair Fair Haines Index 4 4 4 4 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 5100 Transport Wind (mph) SW 29 W 26 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 121800 132600 ADI Early 71 Good 76 Good 60 Gen Good 36 Fair ADI Late 9 Poor 101 Very Good9 Poor 97 Good Max LVORI Early 4 5 5 6 Max LVORI Late 5 1 6 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability E B E C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 72 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 77 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 34 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 76 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 41 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-091115- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon 309 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024 Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 30 40 40 60 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Showers LAL 3 3 3 1 Min/Max Temp 68 87 67 82 Max/Min RH (%) 97 58 100 48 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 SW 8 G22 SW 9 G21 W 6 Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 5 SW 13 G24 SW 6 W 10 G18 Precip Amount 0.18 0.14 0.05 0.14 Precip Duration 2 2 1 4 Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing 8 AM Precip End Continuing Continuing 2 AM 6 PM Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 71/0600 2000 70/0600 Dispersion Fair Fair Haines Index 4 4 4 4 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4000 4300 Transport Wind (mph) SW 26 W 22 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 104000 94600 ADI Early 48 Gen Good 67 Good 53 Gen Good 41 Gen Good ADI Late 11 Poor 79 Good 9 Poor 66 Good Max LVORI Early 4 6 5 6 Max LVORI Late 6 1 6 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability D C E C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 74 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 79 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 33 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 77 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ Forecaster...VAO