Text Products for FWS Issued by ILN

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
Versions: 1 2 3
000
FNUS71 KILN 141503
FWSILN

Spot Forecast for CH preburn...Five Rivers Metroparks
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1103 AM EDT Sun Apr 14 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on April 14.
Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns
with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
The ridge of high pressure has moved east of the region, allowing
for return flow to begin to usher in much warmer air to the
region. A few storms will be possible in central Ohio this
evening into overnight and then again in parts of northern
Kentucky on Monday. Much above normal temperatures are expected
through most of the week, with episodic showers and storms
through at least midweek. Cooler and drier conditions should
return by next weekend.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 14 to 16 mph with gusts to
                    around 26 mph.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 23 to 32 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........37  33  32  32  32  37  42  47
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10
Temp............63  68  72  74  76  77  78  78
RH..............67  59  53  50  46  45  43  43
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..15  16  17  17  17  17  16  15
20 FT wind gust.22  25  26  26  25  25  24  23
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 1.6 2.1 2.8 3.8 4.5 4.8 4.6
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W
Transp wind spd.24  23  24  28  31  31  32  31
Haines index....4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms early in
                    the evening, then slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........82 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 26 mph
                    early in the evening. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening and
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 28 mph decreasing to 6 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........53  60  66  66  66  66  69  72  74  66  58  50
Weather cov.....    SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........    SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).10  20  30  30  30  30  30  20  10  10  10  10
Temp............77  76  73  70  67  66  64  62  62  61  59  58
RH..............45  48  57  61  68  70  75  78  72  72  78  80
20 FT wind dir..SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..13  12  10  10  9   9   8   7   6   6   5   5
20 FT wind gust.21  18  16  14  14  12  11  10  10  7   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...4.1 1.3 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  W   W   W
Transp wind spd.28  20  16  14  14  13  12  10  9   7   6   6
Haines index....5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    north 5 to 6 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the northwest 6
                    to 7 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........39  28  17  12  8   5   4   3   4   7   12  15
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............57  56  56  60  64  67  70  72  75  76  77  77
RH..............80  80  80  75  65  59  51  46  38  36  35  35
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  N   N   NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..5   4   5   5   5   6   5   5   5   5   6   6
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   7   8   7   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.0 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.1 4.7 4.8 4.8 4.9
Transp wind dir.NW  N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  N   NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   7   6   7   7   7   6   6   7   7
Haines index....4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

$$
Forecaster...Randall
Requested by...FEMO
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410716.0/ILN
.DELDT 04/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL latham-j@sbcglobal.net
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
