Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FNUS74 KLZK 172302
FWSLZK

Spot Forecast for Davenport Burn...Arkansas Agriculture Department Forestry
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
602 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on March 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (800) 482-8471 and ask for the fire
weather forecaster if you have any questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Expect dry and fair weather conditions on Monday. Surface winds
at ignition time will be breezy out of the northwest between 10 to
15 mph with wind gusts near 20 mph through Monday evening. A wind
shift will take place around 7PM-8PM CDT on Monday evening with
winds becoming out of the west-southwest between 5 and 10 mph.

.MONDAY...

Max temperature.....37 at ignition...Max 48.
Min humidity........42 percent at ignition...Min 24 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Northwest 18 to 23 mph.
Stability class.....4.
LVORI...............1.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Dispersion..........59.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....43.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 7363 ft MSL.
Category Day........5.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 6400 ft AGL.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............37  41  42  45  46  47  48  48
RH..............42  34  33  28  27  25  24  24
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  12  12  12  12  10
20 FT wind gust.14  16  16  16  16  17  16  14
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.22  23  22  21  21  21  21  18
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Min temperature.....Min 28.
Max humidity........Max 58 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 15 mph shifting to the southwest
                    7 to 8 mph overnight.
Stability class.....6.
LVORI...............2.
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Widespread frost after 3
                    am.
Dispersion..........35 decreasing to 4 in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....MISSING.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 4093 ft MSL.
Category Day........3.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 3200 ft AGL.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....                                    WID WID WID
Weather type....                                    FST FST FST
Tstm cov........
Temp............46  44  42  38  36  35  34  32  31  31  30  30
RH..............26  29  30  37  42  45  47  51  53  53  55  55
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..8   8   7   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6
20 FT wind gust.14  12  10  10  8   7   7   7   7   7   7   8
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.15  13  10  9   8   7   7   7   7   7   7   8
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TUESDAY...

Max temperature.....Max 69.
Min humidity........Min 27 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 17 mph shifting to the west 18
                    to 24 mph late in the morning.
Stability class.....4.
LVORI...............2 early in the morning.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent). Widespread frost early in
                    the morning.
Dispersion..........11 increasing to 54.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....63.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 4053 ft MSL.
Category Day........4.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 3100 ft AGL.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....WID WID WID WID
Weather type....FST FST FST FST
Tstm cov........
Temp............30  29  34  38  46  51  57  63  65  67  69  66
RH..............55  58  51  50  40  36  33  29  28  28  27  32
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..6   7   7   9   10  12  12  12  12  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.8   10  11  14  16  17  18  18  18  18  18  17
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.9   10  13  15  17  20  23  24  24  24  22  18
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
Forecaster...C POPE
Requested by...Cody Burrow
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2407169.0/LZK
.DELDT 03/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL cody.burrow@agriculture.arkansas.gov


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