Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FNUS74 KLZK 171102
FWSLZK

Spot Forecast for Davenport Burn...Arkansas Agriculture Department Forestry
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
602 AM CDT Sun Mar 17 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CDT on March 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (800) 482-8471 and ask for the fire
weather forecaster if you have any questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Gusty northerly to northwesterly winds will be noted across the
forecast area on Monday in the wake of a cold front from Sunday.
Afternoon RH values are expected to drop to the lower 20th
percentile to possibly below 20 percent.

.MONDAY...

Max temperature.....32 at ignition...Max 49.
Min humidity........56 percent at ignition...Min 24 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Northwest 8 to 17 mph increasing to 18 to 23
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Stability class.....4.
LVORI...............2 early in the morning.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Dispersion..........22 increasing to 73.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....45.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 7576 ft MSL.
Category Day........5.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 6600 ft AGL.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............32  31  33  38  41  43  46  47  47  49  47
RH..............56  56  53  42  36  32  27  26  26  24  26
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..7   7   8   10  10  12  12  12  12  12  10
20 FT wind gust.10  11  13  14  14  17  18  18  17  17  14
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.9   13  17  21  22  23  23  23  23  22  18
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Min temperature.....Min 29.
Max humidity........Max 58 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 14 mph shifting to the west
                    around 8 mph overnight.
Stability class.....6.
LVORI...............2.
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
Dispersion..........28 decreasing to 5 in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....MISSING.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 3252 ft MSL.
Category Day........3.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 2300 ft AGL.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............46  44  41  38  36  35  34  33  32  32  31  31
RH..............27  29  34  38  43  45  49  51  53  53  56  56
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..9   8   7   7   6   3   2   2   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.14  12  11  10  7   6   5   5   5   5   6   6
Transp wind dir.N   N   NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.14  10  9   9   9   9   8   8   8   8   8   8
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TUESDAY...

Max temperature.....Max 70.
Min humidity........Min 29 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 17 mph increasing to west 20 to
                    25 mph late in the morning.
Stability class.....4.
LVORI...............2 early in the morning.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Dispersion..........10 increasing to 68.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....64.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 5371 ft MSL.
Category Day........4.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 4400 ft AGL.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............31  30  35  39  47  53  58  64  66  67  69  67
RH..............56  58  54  50  42  36  34  30  29  30  30  33
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..5   3   6   8   12  13  13  14  14  13  13  12
20 FT wind gust.6   6   7   11  16  18  19  20  20  19  19  18
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.8   9   12  14  17  20  23  24  25  25  24  21
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
Forecaster...E Green
Requested by...Cody Burrow
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2407000.0/LZK
.DELDT 03/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL cody.burrow@agriculture.arkansas.gov


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