Text Products for FWS Issued by LZK

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
Versions: 1
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FNUS74 KLZK 231102
FWSLZK

Spot Forecast for MO Red White...U.S. Forest Service
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
602 AM CDT Tue Apr 23 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on April 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (800) 482-8471 and ask for the fire
weather forecaster if you have any questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Dry conditions today with S-SW winds, gusty at times. A weak front
will drift south toward the area tonight into Wednesday. Higher rain
chances expected on Wednesday.

.TODAY...

Max temperature.....56 at ignition...Max 74.
Min humidity........77 percent at ignition...Min 55 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 22 mph increasing to 22 to 28
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Stability class.....3.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Dispersion..........24 increasing to 74.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 4.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....70.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 5009 ft MSL.
Category Day........4.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 4000 ft AGL.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............56  62  66  68  70  73  73  73  74
RH..............77  67  63  61  61  55  57  59  59
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW
20 FT wind spd..14  14  14  14  13  12  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.20  20  20  20  19  18  18  17  17
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.22  26  28  28  28  28  28  25  22
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TONIGHT...

Min temperature.....Min 58.
Max humidity........Max 100 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 16 mph shifting to the north 7
                    to 9 mph after 3 am.
Stability class.....6.
LVORI...............6.
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms overnight.
Dispersion..........33 decreasing to 7 in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.02 inches.
Category Day........3.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......PC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MC  PC  PC  MC
Weather cov.....                                SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............73  72  70  67  65  64  63  63  62  61  60  60
RH..............62  61  68  75  81  87  90  90  93  97  100 100
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   SE  E   N   N   NE
20 FT wind spd..10  8   8   7   6   5   5   3   3   3   2   2
20 FT wind gust.14  13  12  11  8   8   7   6   6   5   5   5
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   SW  SW  W   NW  N   N
Transp wind spd.16  13  12  10  10  10  10  10  10  9   8   7
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20

.WEDNESDAY...

Max temperature.....Max 72.
Min humidity........Min 71 percent.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 13 mph becoming 8 to 10 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Stability class.....3.
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the morning. Chance of thunderstorms
                    through the day. Rain showers likely in the
                    afternoon.
Dispersion..........6 increasing to 20 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.20 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....68.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 3902 ft MSL.
Category Day........2.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 2900 ft AGL.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Temp............60  58  60  62  66  67  68  70  70  70  71  70
RH..............100 100 100 93  84  81  78  73  73  73  71  73
20 FT wind dir..N   NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.4   5   5   6   6   7   8   10  10  8   8   8
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.5   5   7   10  13  13  10  9   8   8   8   8
Chc of pcpn (%).20  40  40  40  40  40  40  60  60  60  60  60

$$
Forecaster...J Hood
Requested by...Adam Strothers
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411911.0/LZK
.DELDT 04/23/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL adam.strothers@usda.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
