Spot Forecast Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
000
FNUS74 KLZK 130806
FWSLZK
Spot Forecast for PCS South White Oak...USFS
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
306 AM CDT Wed Mar 13 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on March 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (800) 482-8471 and ask for the fire
weather forecaster if you have any questions or concerns with
this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
Expect dry and fair conditions during the day on Wednesday.
Surface winds out of the south-southwest between 10 to 15 mph,
with surface wind gusts in excess of 25 mph. Rain and isolated
storm chances come back into the forecast late Wednesday night
around 10 PM CDT.
.REST OF TODAY...
Max temperature.....61 at ignition...Max 73.
Min humidity........90 percent at ignition...Min 62 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 23 mph.
Stability class.....4.
LVORI...............1.
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Dispersion..........27 increasing to 62.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth at ignition...max 4.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....70.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 5196 ft MSL.
Category Day........4.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 4000 ft AGL.
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC MC PC MC MC PC MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............61 64 67 69 71 72 73 73
RH..............90 83 76 71 66 64 62 62
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..14 13 12 13 14 15 15 15
20 FT wind gust.23 21 19 20 22 23 23 23
Transp wind dir.SW SW S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.20 20 20 20 21 22 23 22
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
.TONIGHT...
Min temperature.....Min 63.
Max humidity........Max 95 percent.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Transport winds.....South 17 to 21 mph.
Stability class.....4.
LVORI...............4.
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the
evening.
Dispersion..........34 decreasing to 19 in the late evening and
overnight.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.05 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....MISSING.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 2743 ft MSL.
Category Day........3.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 1500 ft AGL.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC MC MC MC MC
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Temp............73 72 70 68 67 67 66 65 65 65 64 64
RH..............62 64 69 72 74 77 81 83 84 88 87 91
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..15 15 14 15 15 16 16 16 16 16 16 16
20 FT wind gust.23 23 23 23 24 25 25 26 25 26 26 26
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.18 17 18 20 21 21 20 20 20 21 21 21
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 20 20 20 30 30 30 40 40 40 40
.THURSDAY...
Max temperature.....Max 76.
Min humidity........Min 65 percent.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 24 mph.
Stability class.....4.
LVORI...............4 early in the morning.
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely in the morning, then
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Dispersion..........27 increasing to 64.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.28 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....77.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 6410 ft MSL.
Category Day........4.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 5200 ft AGL.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY
Temp............63 63 63 65 67 69 71 73 74 75 76 76
RH..............92 93 93 95 87 83 78 71 68 66 65 65
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..16 16 16 16 16 15 15 15 15 15 15 14
20 FT wind gust.26 26 25 25 26 24 23 23 23 23 23 22
Transp wind dir.S S S SW SW SW S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.20 20 21 22 23 24 24 24 24 23 22 20
Chc of pcpn (%).40 50 50 60 60 70 70 80 80 70 70 70
$$
Forecaster...C POPE
Requested by...RL Self
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2406599.0/LZK
.DELDT 03/13/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Raymond.self@usda.gov