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000
FXUS64 KMOB 130447
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1146 PM CDT Fri Apr 12 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1146 PM CDT Fri Apr 12 2024

VFR conditions will prevail through Saturday evening, with the
exception of some localized fog in typical fog prone areas. Calm
or light and variable winds are expected overnight. A light
northerly flow Saturday morning becomes west to northwest over
interior areas in the afternoon, while closer to the coast a
southerly flow develops. /29

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 629 PM CDT Fri Apr 12 2024/

..New AVIATION...

AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 629 PM CDT Fri Apr 12 2024

VFR conditions continue over the area through Saturday. Winds
become calm or light and variable tonight. For Saturday, winds
will be around 5 knots and vary from northwesterly to southerly.
/29

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 349 PM CDT Fri Apr 12 2024/

.New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

NEAR TERM...
(Now through Sunday night)
Issued at 349 PM CDT Fri Apr 12 2024

A dry northwesterly flow pattern aloft will prevail across the
region through the weekend, while surface high pressure builds
eastward across the Gulf Coast. Dry weather is expected to
continue through Sunday night underneath mostly clear skies.
Relatively cool nights and warm days will persist tonight through
Sunday night. A lingering MODERATE risk of rip currents may
continue this evening but should otherwise become LOW along area
beaches this weekend. /21

SHORT AND EXTENDED TERM...
(Monday through Friday)
Issued at 349 PM CDT Fri Apr 12 2024

No significant changes were made to the extended forecast. Upper
level ridging will gradually build over the Gulf Coast states
early next week. Another vigorous upper level storm system is
forecast to lift from the central Plains Tuesday to the vicinity
of the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes by Wednesday. Upper level ridging
will break down across our forecast area late Tuesday into
Wednesday ahead of this feature. Ascent mostly looks to remain
confined to the north of our CWA on Wednesday, although we cannot
entirely rule out a few showers and thunderstorms across interior
portions of southeast MS and southwest AL along the southern
fringe of the lift Wednesday afternoon and evening. Confidence
remained low enough to keep the forecast dry over our area with
this forecast issuance. A general zonal to northwesterly flow
pattern aloft continues into the latter part of the week. Highs
each day generally range in the upper 70s to mid 80s. The coolest
night currently looks to be Monday night when lows range in the
mid to upper 50s inland and in the lower to mid 60s along the
coast. Lows should otherwise mostly range in the 60s each night
next week. /21

MARINE...
Issued at 349 PM CDT Fri Apr 12 2024

Light to occasionally moderate offshore flow tonight becomes
onshore Saturday. This onshore flow will persist into the middle
of next week. Seas continue to relax into the weekend, building
once again early to mid week. /21

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      49  81  53  80  56  80  60  80 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Pensacola   53  78  57  78  60  77  63  78 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Destin      56  75  60  76  63  77  64  76 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Evergreen   46  80  50  83  51  83  54  84 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Waynesboro  46  81  50  82  52  84  57  84 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Camden      45  78  51  81  52  83  55  83 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Crestview   46  81  50  83  51  83  54  82 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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