Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN
631 FNUS73 KMPX 011338 FWSMPX Spot Forecast for Numo Rx...MN DNR National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 838 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1300 CDT on May 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION...For the Numo Rx Burn, clouds will increase through the day with highs in the mid 60s. Winds will start out on the breezy side out of the west before diminishing by early afternoon and becoming northwesterly. RH values will fall to around 30-35%. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Temperature.........60 at ignition...Max 65. RH..................47 percent at ignition...Min 33 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Winds west at 13 mph at ignition...otherwise Northwest winds 6 to 13 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent /82300 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...excellent /82300 knot-ft/. Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 15 to 22 mph shifting to the northwest 9 to 10 mph late in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth at ignition...max 4. TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID Sky cover.......PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC CDY CDY CDY Weather cov..... SCH Weather type.... RW Tstm cov........ Temp............60 62 63 64 63 63 62 60 58 56 54 54 RH..............47 43 39 38 41 43 48 53 57 64 69 69 20 FT wind dir..W W W NW NW W SE SE SE SE SE E 20 FT wind spd..13 12 10 8 6 1 5 6 6 6 7 7 20 FT wind gust.22 18 16 14 12 9 8 8 9 9 10 13 Mix hgt (kft)...4.3 4.4 4.3 4.3 3.5 2.7 1.8 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 Transp wind dir.W W W NW NW N NE E SE E E SE Transp wind spd.22 18 15 10 9 7 6 6 8 9 9 10 Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of rain showers overnight. Chance of rain showers after 3 am, then rain showers likely early in the morning. Temperature.........Min 48. RH..................Max 93 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (16500 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (2500 knot-ft) late in the night. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North 6 to 7 mph shifting to the southeast 6 to 12 mph early in the evening. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely in the morning, then chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Temperature.........Max 55. RH..................Min 80 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds 9 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6500 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (44300 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 12 to 21 mph shifting to the east 12 to 14 mph late in the afternoon. Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. $$ Forecaster...Dye Requested by...Louise Spiczka Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2412906.0/MPX .DELDT 05/01/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL louise.spiczka@state.mn.us