668
FNUS71 KOKX 020124
FWSOKX

Spot Forecast for Fresh Pond Central RX...NYS-DEC
National Weather Service New York NY
924 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on May 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

631-924-0383

.DISCUSSION...
Mainly dry conditions are forecast on Thursday.
The morning will start with winds out of the south
5-8mph and gradually veer to the SW then W by late
in the day. Wind speeds will remain at or below 10
mph through the day. RH values start off in the 70
percent range, but fall into the 50-60 percent range.


.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........56 at ignition...Max 70.
RH..................80 percent at ignition...Min 53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds south at 8 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Southwest winds 8 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 2300 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 23 mph shifting to the west
                    around 13 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /3600 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...poor
                    /3900 knot-ft/.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........78  78  66  53  41  37  32  28
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............56  58  62  66  69  70  70  68
RH..............80  77  70  63  57  53  55  57
20 FT wind dir..200 200 210 210 210 220 230 240
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   8   8   8   9   8
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.2 2.0 1.7
Transp wind dir.210 220 230 240 240 250 270 280
Transp wind spd.23  23  21  17  15  14  13  13
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4   3   4   4   4   4   4   3
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........Min 49.
RH..................Max 86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 7 mph shifting to the northeast
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 13 to 14 mph shifting to the
                    northeast 20 to 21 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2900 knot-ft) early in the evening.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........28  29  29  29  28  28  29  29  30  37  45  52
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............66  63  59  58  56  55  54  53  53  52  51  50
RH..............63  67  75  75  77  80  80  83  83  86  86  86
20 FT wind dir..270 310 330 340 350 000 020 030 040 050 050 050
20 FT wind spd..7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  11  11  12
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.4
Transp wind dir.290 320 330 340 350 000 010 030 040 040 050 050
Transp wind spd.13  13  14  14  13  14  15  16  18  18  20  21
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3   3   3   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........Max 63.
RH..................Min 58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 8 to 9 mph shifting to the east
                    around 8 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 14 to 22 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....MISSING.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........54  55  57  57  58  58  56  54  52  49  47  44
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............50  50  51  52  54  55  56  58  59  60  60  59
RH..............86  86  83  80  71  69  66  62  60  58  58  60
20 FT wind dir..050 050 060 060 070 070 080 090 100 100 110 110
20 FT wind spd..8   9   9   9   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.13  14  14  14  14  13  13  12  12  12  11  11
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 1.9 2.2 2.7 3.2 3.6 3.9 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.1 4.0
Transp wind dir.060 060 070 070 070 070 080 090 090 090 100 100
Transp wind spd.21  22  22  21  21  20  18  17  16  15  14  14
Vrate kt-ft/1K..M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Ventrate Cat....M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M

$$
Forecaster...BC
Requested by...Bryan Gallagher
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412993.0/OKX
.DELDT 05/01/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bryan.gallagher@dec.ny.gov