Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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AXUS73 KPAH 181723
DGTPAH
ILC003-047-055-059-065-069-077-081-087-127-145-151-153-165-181-
185-191-193-199-INC051-125-129-147-163-173-KYC007-033-035-039-047-
055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145-149-157-177-219-221-225-
233-MOC017-023-031-035-133-143-157-181-201-207-223-201730-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1123 AM CST FRI NOV 18 2016

...SEVERE DROUGHT EXPANDS ACROSS MOST OF WEST KENTUCKY...

SYNOPSIS...

SEVERE DROUGHT /D2/ HAS SPREAD ACROSS ALMOST ALL OF WEST KENTUCKY
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF UNION AND HENDERSON COUNTIES. SEVERE DROUGHT
HAS ALSO SPREAD ACROSS THE RIVERS TO INCLUDE PARTS OF MISSISSIPPI
COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND MASSAC AND POPE COUNTIES IN
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS.

MODERATE DROUGHT /D1/ CONTINUES ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHWEST INDIANA,
THE COUNTIES ADJACENT TO THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL IN SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI AND IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS SOUTH OF IL ROUTE 13.


SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS.
THE LACK OF PRECIPITATION HAS CAUSED SOIL MOISTURE TO DECREASE
RAPIDLY THROUGH THE MONTH OF OCTOBER AND INTO NOVEMBER.

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS.
PASTURE LAND CONDITIONS ACROSS KENTUCKY CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE
AND HAY FEEDING HAS BEGUN IN SOME AREAS. STOCK PONDS ARE BEGINNING
TO RUN LOW AND SOME FARMERS ARE HAULING IN WATER FOR LIVESTOCK.

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS.
BURN BANS ARE IN EFFECT ACROSS ALL OF WEST KENTUCKY WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF HENDERSON, DAVIESS, AND CALHOUN COUNTIES. BURN BANS
IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA INCLUDE: GIBSON, PIKE, VANDERBURGH, WARRICK
AND SPENCER.

A LEVEL I DROUGHT DECLARATION HAS BEEN MADE BY THE COMMONWEALTH
OF KENTUCKY.

THOUGH THERE HAVE BEEN NO MAJOR FIRES IN WEST KENTUCKY, OVER TWO
DOZEN FIRES HAVE BEEN REPORTED IN OTHER PARTS OF THE STATE,
ESPECIALLY IN THE APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS. OVER 26,000
ACRES HAVE BURNED SINCE THE DROUGHT BEGAN IN EASTERN KENTUCKY.


CLIMATE SUMMARY...
ONLY AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH OF RAIN HAS FALLEN ACROSS THE
REGION DURING THE MONTH OF NOVEMBER. PADUCAH RECORDED THE DRIEST
TWO MONTH PERIOD ON RECORD DURING SEPTEMBER/OCTOBER. THIS LACK OF
PRECIPITATION COMBINED WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES HAS
CONTRIBUTED TO THE RAPID ONSET OF DROUGHT CONDITIONS.

AT PADUCAH, KENTUCKY, 1.28 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN SINCE
SEPTEMBER 1. THIS IS 8.69 INCHES BELOW NORMAL. 43.95 INCHES OF
RAIN HAS FALLEN SINCE JANUARY 1. THIS IS 1.50 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL
FOR THE YEAR.

AT EVANSVILLE, INDIANA, 4.59 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN SINCE
SEPTEMBER 1. THIS IS 4.05 INCHES BELOW NORMAL. 43.05 INCHES OF
RAIN HAS FALLEN SINCE JANUARY 1. THIS IS 3.49 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL.


PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AND BRING A CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD SHOWERS. THE FRONT WILL
MOVE QUICKLY LIMITING THE AMOUNTS OF RAIN TO AROUND ONE QUARTER
TO ONE THIRD INCH.

ANOTHER FRONT WILL COME THROUGH MIDWEEK NEXT WEEK AND BRING
ANOTHER CHANCE OF RAIN. AMOUNTS WILL AGAIN BE LIGHT AVERAGING
BETWEEN ONE QUARTER AND ONE THIRD INCH.

THE 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK, FOR NOVEMBER 25 THROUGH DECEMBER 1, CALLS
FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND NORMAL TO A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL
CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION. NORMAL AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE BETWEEN 40
TO 45 DEGREES AND NORMAL PRECIPITATION DURING THIS TIME PERIOD IS
AROUND ONE INCH.


HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
AS OF NOVEMBER 18, STREAMFLOWS ALONG THE OHIO RIVER AND THROUGHOUT
KENTUCKY INCLUDING THE TENNESSE AND CUMBERLAND VALLEYS ARE RUNNING
BELOW NORMAL. PARTS OF THE OHIO RIVER ARE AT 40 PERCENT OF NORMAL
FLOWS.

THROUGHOUT SOUTHEAST MISSOURI, SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND THE LOWER
WABASH VALLEY STREAMFLOWS ARE NEAR NORMAL.


NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...
THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED WHEN A MAJOR CHANGE IN DROUGHT
STATUS TAKES PLACE. THAT INCLUDES A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE AREA
COVERED BY SEVERE DROUGHT, AN INCREASE IN THE DROUGHT SEVERITY
LEVEL, OR ERADICATION OF THE SEVERE DROUGHT.

THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED AT LEAST ONCE PER MONTH REGARDLESS OF
CHANGES IN DROUGHT STATUS UNTIL THE SEVERE DROUGHT HAS ENDED.


RELATED WEB SITES...
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

LOCAL WEATHER, WATER AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...
   HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/PADUCAH
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR...
   HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU
U.S. DROUGHT PORTAL...
   HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.GOV
MIDWESTERN REGIONAL CLIMATE CENTER...
   HTTP://MRCC.SWS.UIUC.EDU
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...
   HTTP://WWW.CPC.NOAA.GOV
USDA NATIONAL AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS SERVICE...
   HTTP://WWW.NASS.USDA.GOV
USGS STREAMFLOW INFORMATION...
   HTTP://WATERWATCH.USGS.GOV
ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE (AHPS)...
   HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS/INDEX.PHP?WFO=PAH


ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...
THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE AND THE NATIONAL CENTER FOR ENVIRONMENTAL INFORMATION...
THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL
WEATHER DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT
HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM THE NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...COOPERATIVE
NETWORK STATIONS...THE USGS...AND THE U.S. ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...
IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION, PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
8250 KENTUCKY HIGHWAY 3520
WEST PADUCAH, KY 42086
PHONE: 270-744-6440
W-PAH.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV


$$

LAMM



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