Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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FGUS73 KPAH 020849
ESFPAH
ILC003-047-055-059-065-069-077-081-087-127-145-151-153-165-181-
185-191-193-199-INC051-125-129-147-163-173-KYC007-033-035-039-047-
055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145-149-157-177-219-221-225-
233-MOC017-023-031-035-133-143-157-181-201-207-223-022100-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
349 AM CDT THU MAY 2 2013

...HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE LATE THIS EVENING INTO FRIDAY EVENING...

A SLOW MOVING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP AND PERSIST OVER
WESTERN MISSOURI AND ARKANSAS THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. BEGINNING
LATE THURSDAY EVENING AND INTO FRIDAY EVENING...THIS AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE WILL GENERATE COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL OVER SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI AND ADJACENT PARTS OF SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS AND KENTUCKY
ADJACENT TO THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

AT THIS TIME...IT LOOKS LIKE THAT TWO TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN WILL
BE LIKELY FROM A MOUNT VERNON ILLINOIS...MAYFIELD KENTUCKY
LINE...WESTWARD THROUGH SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. THE TIME PERIOD OF
GREATEST CONCERN WILL BE BETWEEN 10 PM CDT THURSDAY THROUGH 10 PM
CDT FRIDAY.

WITH RIVER FLOODING ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI ALREADY CAUSING
PROBLEMS FOR RESIDENTS ALONG AND NEAR THE RIVER...THE EXPECTED
RAINFALL LATE THIS WEEK WILL ONLY AGGRAVATE PROBLEMS FOR OVERLAND
AREAS ADJACENT TO THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY IN
THE EXACT TIMING AND AMOUNTS OF THE HEAVY RAIN...IT IS STILL TO
EARLY TO DELINEATE ANY AREA THAT MAY REQUIRE A FLOOD WATCH. THE
MAIN GOAL OF A POTENTIAL FLOOD WATCH WOULD BE TO HEIGHTEN
AWARENESS OF BACKWATER FROM RIVER CHANNELS AND NEW RAINFALL
QUICKLY RUNNING OFF INTO THE RIVER.

ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE SOUTHEAST MISSOURI FOOTHILLS MAY
ALSO BE OF CONCERN TO PERSONS LIVING IN LOW LYING AREAS AT AND
BELOW THE BASE OF THE FOOTHILLS.

IF YOU LIVE IN OR NEAR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...CONTINUE TO MONITOR
NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL TELEVISION...RADIO AND THE INTERNET
FOR THE LATEST WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES.

$$

SMITH
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