Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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819
FGUS73 KPAH 251939
ESFPAH
ILC003-047-055-059-065-069-077-081-087-127-145-151-153-165-181-
185-191-193-199-INC051-125-129-147-163-173-KYC007-033-035-039-047-
055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145-149-157-177-219-221-225-
233-MOC017-023-031-035-133-143-157-181-201-207-223-262100-

PROBABILISTIC HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
139 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

...WET CHRISTMAS HOLIDAY WEEKEND...

A WET WEATHER PATTERN IS STILL FORECAST TO DEVELOP THIS CHRISTMAS
HOLIDAY WEEKEND. IT WILL NOT BE A NON STOP RAIN...BUT RATHER WILL
SEE SEVERAL EPISODES OF RAIN THAT WILL ADD UP OVER TIME.

OUR NEXT ROUND OF RAIN STARTS LATER THIS CHRISTMAS NIGHT...AS A
WARM FRONT STARTS TO MOVE IN AGAIN FROM THE SOUTH. WE`LL SEE
FORECAST RAINFALL TOTALS AVERAGE BETWEEN A HALF INCH AND AN INCH
BY THE END OF THE DAY SATURDAY...AS THE FRONT WORKS ITS WAY
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION.

AFTER A RELATIVE PAUSE EARLY SATURDAY NIGHT...MORE OFF AND ON
RAINFALL GETS GOING SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. ADDITIONAL EXPECTED
RAINFALL SUNDAY INTO MONDAY COULD PUSH RAIN TOTALS ABOVE 4 INCHES
ACROSS THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH AREA...FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. 3 TO 4 INCH AMOUNTS LOOK POSSIBLE
ALONG THE LOWER OHIO RIVER VALLEY...TAPERING TO 2 TO 3 INCHES
FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST ACROSS THE PENNYRILE REGION OF WESTERN
KENTUCKY.

THESE SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL THROUGH THE CHRISTMAS HOLIDAY
WEEKEND WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT RISES ACROSS LOCAL
STREAMS...CREEKS...AND SMALLER RIVERS. EVEN MAIN STEM RIVERS
SHOULD SEE MARKED BUMPS IN THEIR FORECASTS. FLOOD PRONE AND LOW
LYING AREAS WILL LIKELY SEE STANDING WATER AT TIMES. ADDITIONAL FLOOD
WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BECOME NECESSARY DEPENDING UPON HOW THE
SYSTEM EVOLVES...SO PLAN AHEAD ACCORDINGLY AND STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLET FOR THE LATEST UPDATED
FORECASTS ON THIS WET CHRISTMAS HOLIDAY WEEKEND SYSTEM.

$$



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