Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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553
FGUS73 KPAH 242025
ESFPAH
ILC003-047-055-059-065-069-077-081-087-127-145-151-153-165-181-
185-191-193-199-INC051-125-129-147-163-173-KYC007-033-035-039-047-
055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145-149-157-177-219-221-225-
233-MOC017-023-031-035-133-143-157-181-201-207-223-251000-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
225 PM CST THU DEC 24 2015

...WET CHRISTMAS HOLIDAY WEEKEND ON TAP...

A WET WEATHER PATTERN IS DEVELOPING FOR THE CHRISTMAS HOLIDAY
WEEKEND. IT WILL NOT BE A NON STOP RAIN...BUT RATHER WILL SEE
SEVERAL EPISODES OF RAIN THAT WILL ADD UP OVER TIME.

THE FIRST SUCH ROUND OF RAINFALL STARTS OVERNIGHT ON CHRISTMAS
EVE...AND SPREADS THROUGHOUT THE AREA DURING THE DAYTIME ON
CHRISTMAS DAY. WE`LL SEE FORECAST RAINFALL TOTALS AVERAGE BETWEEN
A HALF INCH AND AN INCH BY THE END OF THE DAYTIME HOURS ON
CHRISTMAS DAY...WITH THE HEAVIEST OF THAT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PENNYRILE REGION OF WESTERN KENTUCKY. LIGHTER AMOUNTS WILL TAPER
OFF TO THE NORTH AND WEST FROM THERE.

AFTER A RELATIVE PAUSE EARLY CHRISTMAS NIGHT...ANOTHER ROUND WITH
SIMILAR ANTICIPATED RAINFALL TOTALS OF A HALF INCH TO PERHAPS AN
INCH INCOMING WILL SPREAD OVER THE AREA THROUGHOUT THE DAY ON
SATURDAY AND INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. THAT PUTS A TOTAL OF 1 TO
PERHAPS AS MUCH AS 2 INCHES FOR AVERAGE MAXIMUM VALUES ACROSS THE
QUAD STATE REGION BY SUNDAY MORNING.

ADDITIONAL EXPECTED RAINFALL ON SUNDAY INTO MONDAY IS FORECAST TO
BE AT LEAST 2 MORE INCHES AND MAY BE A LITTLE HEAVIER THAN THAT.
IT IS STILL A LITTLE TOO FAR OUT IN TIME TO SAY WITH CERTAINTY
WHAT THOSE AMOUNTS WILL BE...BUT REGARDLESS...WE CAN EXPECT
SEVERAL INCHES OF COMBINED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL BY THE END OF THE
EVENT SOMETIME EARLY NEXT WEEK.

THESE SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL THROUGH THE CHRISTMAS HOLIDAY
WEEKEND WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT RISES ACROSS LOCAL
STREAMS...CREEKS...AND SMALLER RIVERS. EVEN MAIN STEM RIVERS
SHOULD SEE MARKED BUMPS IN THEIR FORECASTS. FLOOD PRONE AND LOW
LYING AREAS WILL LIKELY SEE STANDING WATER AT TIMES. FLOOD
WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BECOME NECESSARY DEPENDING UPON HOW THE
SYSTEM EVOLVES...SO PLAN AHEAD ACCORDINGLY AND STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLET FOR THE LATEST UPDATED
FORECASTS ON THIS WET CHRISTMAS HOLIDAY WEEKEND SYSTEM.

$$



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